Who won the 17:10 Chepstow on 31 August 2026?
Level Up (IRE) won the 17:10 Chepstow at SP 3.50. Ridden by Pat Dobbs. Trained by David Evans.
17:10 Chepstow
Tom's Big Bike Ride Handicap Stakes
5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £4,397 · Monday, 31 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stLevel Up (IRE)Pat Dobbs·David Evans5/2J·3.50SP
- 2ndSome Nightmare (IRE)William Carson·John O'Shea·beaten .75 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdConnie's Rose (GB)Callum Hutchinson·Grace Harris·beaten 5.5 lengths5/2J·3.50SP
Race time
1m 0.86s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Level Up (IRE))
“Set the pace from the break - held wide berth throughout - pressed for effort a furlong out - kept finding more to assert late and win”
AI top-rated Control Room (score 58.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Control Room
Control Room holds a narrow edge on ratings over the field here and arrives at Chepstow looking the most credible option in a wide-open Class 5 sprint over five furlongs on good-to-soft ground. The main dangers come from Connie's Rose, who is only five pounds adrift and should not be underestimated, while Level Up and Double Naughty are also capable of making this competitive. Control Room may need to produce a tidy performance to hold off that trio, but on balance the ratings edge is enough to side with him, and Control Room is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Control Room
Edward Greatrex · Grace Harris · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 58.1 · +7.1 clear of next best (51.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong25d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight65averageLast 6: 1-2-3-2-4
- Trainer20% weight63averageGrace Harris: 5/20 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight45below averageOR 68 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 5f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.90
High (6–7)
IV 1.08
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: David Evans · draw 1 7yo · G · bv | 222167 | 66 | 45.1 | 5/2J·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 7 | J: William Carson · T: John O'Shea · draw 2 9yo · G · bp | 433732 | 48 | 34.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Grace Harris · draw 7 7yo · M · btp | 244433 | 62 | 51.0 | 5/2J·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Grace Harris · draw 4 3yo · F · gr | 12324 | 68 | 58.1 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Grace Harris · draw 3 6yo · M · bp | 231269 | 63 | 49.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5 4yo · F · b | 111374 | 67 | 47.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Taylor Fisher · T: Joe Tickle · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 16679 | 62 | 34.5 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:10 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Control Room) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 17:10 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Level Up (IRE) (3.50), 2. Some Nightmare (IRE) (8.00), 3. Connie's Rose (GB) (3.50).
What was the winning time for the 17:10 Chepstow?
The winning time was 1m 0.86s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org