Who won the 16:30 Carlisle on 27 August 2026?
Dr Rio (FR) won the 16:30 Carlisle at SP 6.00. Ridden by Zak Wheatley. Trained by Declan Carroll.
16:30 Carlisle
Racing Again Wednesday 9th Sept Handicap Stakes (Div I)
1m3f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 7 runners · £3,402 · Thursday, 27 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stDr Rio (FR)Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndTaylormade Lad (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 5 lengths13/8F·2.62SP
- 3rdOff Spin (IRE)Sean Kirrane·Tim Easterby·beaten .75 lengths13/2·7.50SP
Race time
2m 24.82s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Dr Rio (FR))
“Settled mid-pack early - made ground into contention by halfway - hit the front approaching 2f out - edged clear from the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”
AI top-rated Hansteen (score 54.6) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way53.2/100 rating
Vampire Slayer
7.40Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Dr Rio
Three runners share the top rating here, making this a genuinely open affair over eleven furlongs on good ground at Carlisle, but Dr Rio is our selection and gets the nod on the basis that he represents a consistent profile at this class level and has the tools to see out this trip. Taylormade Lad and Hansteen are rated level with him and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Vampire Slayer is only a pound behind and merits respect if finding improvement. On balance, Dr Rio is taken to edge a competitive finish.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Hansteen
Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 54.6 · +1.4 clear of next best (53.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong23d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight77strongLast 6: 0-2-1-2-2
- Trainer20% weight48below averageJohn & Sean Quinn: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59
MarketBest price 81.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 7th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 1m3f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.31).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.31
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.89
High (8–10)
IV 0.75
Today: Speechman (draw 1) and Taylormade Lad (draw 2) get the bias; Hansteen (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 52 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 3 10yo · G · b | 438753 | 59 | 37.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 4yo · G · b | 33557 | 58 | 43.5 | 13/8F·2.62 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10 4yo · G · bt | 353326 | 53 | 38.7 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Rhys Elliott(5) · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 8 10yo · M · b | 04445 | 45 | 32.4 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 4 4yo · G · bt | 41970 | 60 | 34.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 8 | J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Philip Kirby · draw 1 6yo · G · bbp | 883278 | 45 | 43.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 9 3yo · G · ch | 02122 | 59 | 54.6 | 2/1·3.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Oliver Stammers · T: Grant Tuer · draw 7 3yo · F · bb | 441412 | 56 | 40.7 | — |
| — | — | J: David Nolan · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 6 6yo · G · bp | 72728 | 57 | 53.2 | — |
| — | — | J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Ellison · draw 5 3yo · F · bp | 23705 | 46 | 35.1 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:30 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Hansteen) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:30 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Dr Rio (FR) (6.00), 2. Taylormade Lad (IRE) (2.62), 3. Off Spin (IRE) (7.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:30 Carlisle?
The winning time was 2m 24.82s.
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