Who won the 13:53 Curragh on 29 August 2026?
Sea Of Rain (IRE) won the 13:53 Curragh at SP 19.00. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by J S Bolger.
13:53 Curragh
IrelandNewtownanner Stud Irish EBF Stakes (Group 3)
1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 10 runners · €42,000 · Saturday, 29 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stSea Of Rain (IRE)Colin Keane·J S Bolger18/1·19.00SP
- 2ndBallyskeagh (IRE)Chris Hayes·Joseph Patrick O'Brien·beaten .75 lengths14/1·15.00SP
- 3rdDamsel In Distress (IRE)Ben Coen·Daniel McLoughlin·beaten 0.3 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
1m 39.21s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sea Of Rain (IRE))
“Handy from the off - hit the front approaching final 3f then asked for effort and opened daylight with a furlong left - stayed on strongly to the line for victory”
AI top-rated Tosca No Candis (score 64.8) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Damsel In Distress
Damsel In Distress heads this ten-runner mile contest on good ground at the Curragh narrowly ahead of So Lovely and Sea Of Rain on our ratings, and her profile suggests she is primed to confirm that superiority at this level. So Lovely and Sea Of Rain represent the most credible threats and will need to be watched closely throughout, while Tosca No Candis cannot be entirely dismissed if conditions play to her strengths. On balance, however, the edge in class and form points clearly to one horse, and Damsel In Distress is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tosca No Candis
W J Lee · Robson De Aguiar · 2yo
Top-rated of 10
score 64.8 · +0.3 clear of next best (64.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight63averageRobson De Aguiar: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
- Ratings50% weight61averageOR 92
- Form20% weight58averageLast 6: 5-5-5-1
MarketBest price 50.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 6th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.99
High (8–10)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Colin Keane · T: J S Bolger · draw 6 2yo · F · b | 422314 | 87 | 59.3 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Chris Hayes · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 2yo · F · b | 51 | — | 32.3 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 514 | 95 | 53.8 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 9 2yo · F · b | 033 | — | 28.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5 2yo · F · b | 62 | — | 29.7 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 7 2yo · F · baybrown | 221 | — | 32.8 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: W J Lee · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 1 2yo · F · b | 5551 | 92 | 64.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 8 | 2 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 10 2yo · F · b | 213 | 92 | 64.4 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 9 | 9 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Brendan W Duke · draw 3 2yo · F · b | 718 | 78 | 41.2 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 10 | 5 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 2 2yo · F · br | 41 | — | 28.3 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:53 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Tosca No Candis) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 13:53 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Sea Of Rain (IRE) (19.00), 2. Ballyskeagh (IRE) (15.00), 3. Damsel In Distress (IRE) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 13:53 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 39.21s.
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