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RacingAlpha

15:03 Curragh

Ireland

Heider Family Stables Round Tower Stakes (Group 3)

6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 5 runners · €42,000 · Saturday, 29 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Push The Boat Out (IRE)
    Seamie Heffernan·M D O'Callaghan
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Great Barrier Reef (IRE)
    Ryan Moore·A P O'Brien·beaten 0.3 lengths
    4/5F·1.80
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Velozee (IRE)
    W J Lee·P Twomey·beaten 1.75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
1m 14.70s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Push The Boat Out (IRE))

Sat behind front group early - third at halfway - driven on approaching final two furlongs - edged closer then found extra to prevail late

AI top-rated Livenka (score 71.4) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way71.4/100 rating
Livenka
8.20Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Velozee

Velozee heads this seven-runner sprint at the Curragh on a rating narrowly ahead of Great Barrier Reef, and her recent form over six furlongs gives solid reason to believe she can confirm that superiority on good ground today. Great Barrier Reef represents the most pressing threat and will need to be watched throughout, while Where Love Lives and Ruler's Control, rated level on 105, cannot be dismissed if either finds improvement. The confidence here is measured rather than absolute, but the evidence points to Velozee as the one most likely to see out this trip in the manner required, and she is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Livenka

Colin Keane · G M Lyons · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 71.4 · +0.6 clear of next best (70.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 3-3-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    71strong
    OR 106
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    G M Lyons: 4/23 winners last 14d (17%)
MarketBest price 8.20 (Matchbook) · 3rd in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.84
High (6–7)
IV 1.12

Today: Beibhinn (draw 6) and Push The Boat Out (draw 7) get the bias; Great Barrier Reef (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
2yo · C · g
1
34.5
17/2·9.50
SP
21
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
111
10970.8
4/5F·1.80
SP
37
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 4
2yo · F · b
114833
10856.8
3/1·4.00
SP
46
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 3
2yo · F · b
3311
10671.4
5/1·6.00
SP
54
2yo · C · b
1104
9959.6
22/1·23.00
SP
2yo · C · bt
145
10059.7
2yo · F · bvFT V
41336
9359.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:03 Curragh on 29 August 2026?

Push The Boat Out (IRE) won the 15:03 Curragh at SP 9.50. Ridden by Seamie Heffernan. Trained by M D O'Callaghan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:03 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Livenka) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:03 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Push The Boat Out (IRE) (9.50), 2. Great Barrier Reef (IRE) (1.80), 3. Velozee (IRE) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:03 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 14.70s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org