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Next · 3h 0m14:50Beverley

13:50 Cork

Off in 2h 0mIreland

Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden

1m · Flat · Yielding · 15 runners · €15,000 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 49.5 · +14.0 clear of next best · best 9/1·9.80
Best value vs consensus
19·19.00 Matchbook · +21% vs fair (consensus 15.69)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way49.5/100 rating
Eighteenth Smiles
9.80Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Eighteenth Smiles

Declan McDonogh · Joseph Patrick O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 15
score 49.5 · +14.0 clear of next best (35.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    52average
    OR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Joseph Patrick O'Brien: 12/71 winners last 14d (17%)
  • Form20% weight
    40below average
    Last 6: 5-5-5-0-3-3
MarketBest price 9.80 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 15.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.96
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.07
High (11–15)
IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 65 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3 · combo 6/86 (7%)
2yo · C · bp
555033
7849.510/1·11.119.8·9.80
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
15
J: Andrew Slattery · T: Josh Halley · draw 10
2yo · F · bOnly runner
057
7535.514/1·15.6919·19.00
Matchbook · +21% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Robbie Colgan · T: David Marnane · draw 7 · combo 1/9 (11%)
2yo · G · bOnly ride
52
25.911/2·6.549/2·5.50
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 2 · combo 3/48 (6%)
2yo · C · b
24.011/1·12.4211.5·11.50
Matchbook · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: W J Lee · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 8 · combo 3/23 (13%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
7
24.066/1·66.6760·60.00
Matchbook · -10% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: J M Sheridan · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 13/86 (15%)
2yo · F · b
23.514/1·14.3814·14.00
Matchbook · -3% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 9 · combo 19/173 (11%)
2yo · F · b
4
21.015/2·8.507.8·7.80
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 13 · combo 6/71 (8%)
2yo · G · bOnly ride
74
20.55/1·5.885·5.00
Matchbook · -15% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Colin Keane · T: Noel Meade · draw 14 · combo 3/39 (8%)
2yo · C · chOnly pairing
4
20.510/1·11.1112·12.00
Smarkets · +8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 12 · combo 2/29 (7%)
2yo · C · ch
18.025/1·27.4522·22.00
Matchbook · -20% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Chris Hayes · T: William Durkan · draw 5 · combo 1/5 (20%)
2yo · C · bbFT BOnly runner
50
15.550/1·53.6080·80.00
Matchbook · +49% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
14
J: Nathan Crosse · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 11 · combo 0/6 (0%)
2yo · F · bOnly runner
5
14.525/1·27.4529·29.00
Matchbook · +6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
J: Ben Coen · T: A Oliver · draw 15 · combo 2/16 (13%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
0
13.566/1·66.6750/1·51.00
LiveScore Bet · -23% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Gary Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 6 · combo 1/26 (4%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
67
13.325/1·27.4546·46.00
Matchbook · +68% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
2yo · C · chOnly pairing
00
11.5150/1·132.03500·500.00
Smarkets · +279% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 31% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden?

The Irish EBF Auction Series Maiden is off at 13:50 on 30 August 2026 at Cork (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:50 Cork?

1m, Flat, 15 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:50 Cork?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:50 Cork?

The AI top-rated runner is Eighteenth Smiles (score 49.5, best price 9.80). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:50 Cork?

The market favourite is Williamsburg at a best price of 5.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Eighteenth Smiles.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org