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16:40 Cork

Ireland

Cork Maiden

6f · Flat · Yielding · 16 runners · €7,200 · Sunday, 30 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 11 · score 52.3 · +3.2 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.50
Best value vs consensus
80·80.00 Matchbook · +22% vs fair (consensus 65.38)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way52.3/100 rating
Grande Cuvee
5.50Matchbook

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Grande Cuvee

Seamie Heffernan · J A Stack · 3yo

Top-rated of 17
score 52.3 · +3.2 clear of next best (49.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 9-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70
  • Trainer20% weight
    35small sample (n=7)
    J A Stack: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 5.50 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 17.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 1.13
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.95
High (13–17)
IV 0.90

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 86 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
11
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 4
3yo · F · ch
932
7052.36/1·7.185.5·5.50
Matchbook · -23% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
3yo · F · btFT TOnly pairing
464
7349.26/1·7.185.7·5.70
Betfair Exchange · -21% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
16
J: Gavin Ryan · T: J A Stack · draw 9
3yo · F · btFT T
2830
7343.416/1·17.5416·16.00
Matchbook · -9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Nathan Crosse · T: Ms M McDowall · draw 11
3yo · G · btOnly runner
076
6043.080/1·81.3390·90.00
Smarkets · +11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
17
3yo · F · bOnly runner
64504
7641.011/1·11.969.4·9.40
Matchbook · -21% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 5
3yo · G · b
2038
7339.840/1·41.4640·40.00
Matchbook · -4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
3yo · G · baybrownOnly pairing
31.566/1·65.3880·80.00
Matchbook · +22% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 2
3yo · C · b
23.07/1·7.976.2·6.20
Matchbook · -22% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 1
3yo · C · b
21.57/1·7.976.2·6.20
Betfair Exchange · -22% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Gary Carroll · T: W P Browne · draw 7
3yo · C · bOnly runner
8
20.550/1·54.2248·48.00
Matchbook · -11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Declan McDonogh · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 13
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
15.080/1·81.33120·120.00
Matchbook · +48% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
15
J: Shane Foley · T: John Joseph Murphy · draw 14
3yo · F · bOnly runner
15.050/1·54.2250·50.00
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 10
3yo · F · b
5
14.511/2·6.384.6·4.60
Betfair Exchange · -28% vs fair
All 21 books ▾
12
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 8
3yo · F · bOnly runner
95
10.922/1·23.9221·21.00
Matchbook · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 16
3yo · G · bOnly pairing
07
10.5150/1·129.16240·240.00
Matchbook · +86% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
13
3yo · F · ch
98
10.250/1·54.2250·50.00
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Alan Persse(5) · T: Patrick J Flynn · draw 12
3yo · G · chOnly rideOnly runner
0
10.0250/1·240.79500·500.00
Smarkets · +108% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–29 bookmakers per horse with the 60% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Cork Maiden?

The Cork Maiden is off at 16:40 on 30 August 2026 at Cork (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:40 Cork?

6f, Flat, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:40 Cork?

Going is reported as Yielding on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:40 Cork?

The AI top-rated runner is Grande Cuvee (score 52.3, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:40 Cork?

The market favourite is Otsana at a best price of 4.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Grande Cuvee.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org