18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

18:45 Brighton

Streamline Supports The Martlets Hospice Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 1 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Tattie Bogle (GB)
    Marco Ghiani·Charlie Johnston
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Serenity Dream (IRE)AI top pick · 53.9
    Jack Doughty·Tony Carroll·beaten 1.25 lengths
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Shaw Park (IRE)
    Kieran O'Neill·Scott Dixon·beaten 3.75 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 21.61s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Tattie Bogle (GB))

Settled mid-pack early - pushed along and made ground 2f out - hit the front inside final furlong - drifted right approaching the line - held on for the win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Serenity Dream

Serenity Dream rates a pound below the top-rated Tattie Bogle on these figures, but a progressive profile makes a compelling case that the bare ratings understate her current ability, and seven furlongs on good ground at Brighton looks well suited to her. Tattie Bogle must be respected as the chief threat, with Shaw Park and Dion Baker also capable of making life difficult if either runs to their best. With improvement expected to bridge the narrow gap at the head of the ratings, Serenity Dream is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Serenity Dream

Jack Doughty · Tony Carroll · 5yo

Top-rated of 6
score 53.9 · +3.9 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    26d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    73strong
    Last 6: 8-5-6-2-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    Tony Carroll: 4/43 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 4.50 (Spreadex) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Brighton 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.97
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.93
High (5–6)
IV 1.09

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 152 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 4
4yo · G · grp
127228
7350.0
9/4·3.25
SP
21
J: Jack Doughty · T: Tony Carroll · draw 3
5yo · G · chp
856211
7453.9
2/1F·3.00
SP
34
J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 5
7yo · G · b
83084
6737.6
100/30·4.33
SP
42
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 2
7yo · G · bp
113829
7340.4
5/1·6.00
SP
56
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Daniel Steele · draw 6
7yo · G · bt
33073
4739.4
50/1·51.00
SP
65
3yo · G · bpFT P
468154
6645.4
14/1·15.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:45 Brighton on 1 September 2026?

Tattie Bogle (GB) won the 18:45 Brighton at SP 3.25. Ridden by Marco Ghiani. Trained by Charlie Johnston.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:45 Brighton?

No — the AI top pick (Serenity Dream) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:45 Brighton?

Top finishers: 1. Tattie Bogle (GB) (3.25), 2. Serenity Dream (IRE) (3.00), 3. Shaw Park (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 18:45 Brighton?

The winning time was 1m 21.61s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org