Who won the 19:00 Kempton (AW) on 2 September 2026?
Fortitudine (IRE) won the 19:00 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.25. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.
19:00 Kempton (AW)
Unibet/ebf Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)
1m3f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 6 runners · £6,480 · Wednesday, 2 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stFortitudine (IRE)William Buick·Charlie Appleby1/4F·1.25SP
- 2ndShadow Road (IRE)David Egan·John Butler·beaten 2.25 lengths5/1·6.00SP
- 3rdBrave Hunter (GB)AI top pick · 56.8Billy Loughnane·Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos·beaten 4.25 lengths10/1·11.00SP
Race time
2m 19.20s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Fortitudine (IRE))
“Set the pace from the off - urged forward approaching 2f out - driven out and finished strongly to hold on”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 10.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Brave Hunter
Billy Loughnane · Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · 3yo
Top-rated of 6
score 56.8 · +13.3 clear of next best (43.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong55d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight63small sample (n=4)Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 6-2-7-2-5
MarketBest price 81.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 3rd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m3f
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.21
High (5–6)
IV 0.83
Today: Shadow Road (draw 3) and Roxy Power (draw 4) get the bias; Brave Hunter (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 1 | — | 43.5 | 1/4F·1.25 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: David Egan · T: John Butler · draw 3 3yo · G · b | 41 | — | 29.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ismail Mohammed & Jose Santos · draw 6 3yo · C · chvFT V | 62725 | 80 | 56.8 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: David Probert · T: Robert Stephens · draw 5 10yo · G · b | 9 | — | 11.2 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 4 3yo · G · b | — | — | 20.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Clare Hobson · draw 2 4yo · G · bbFT B | 0 | — | 10.0 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Brave Hunter) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Fortitudine (IRE) (1.25), 2. Shadow Road (IRE) (6.00), 3. Brave Hunter (GB) (11.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:00 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 2m 19.20s.
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