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RacingAlpha

14:05 Haydock

Ebf Novice Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Soft · 9 runners · £7,020 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/9F·1.44
  1. 1st
    Burning Up (GB)AI top pick · 38.0
    Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke
    4/9F·1.44
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Hands To Yourself (IRE)
    Hector Crouch·Michael Bell·beaten 1.25 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Under Arrest (GB)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 5.5 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 44.61s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Burning Up (GB))

Sat handy early - third for much of the way - reeled in front-runner 2f out - hit the front with a furlong left - opened up daylight inside final 110yds - allowed to coast home unchallenged

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.44 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Burning Up

Clifford Lee · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 9
score 38.0 · +13.0 clear of next best (25.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    100very strong
    Last 6: 1
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    K. R. Burke: 7/43 winners last 14d (16%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.46 (Smarkets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Haydock 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.24
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.79
High (7–9)
IV 0.93

Today: Burning Up (draw 2) and Hands To Yourself (draw 1) get the bias; Austin (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 177 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2
2yo · C · b
1
38.0
4/9F·1.44
SP
25
J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 1
2yo · C · b
25.0
14/1·15.00
SP
38
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 9
2yo · C · b
55
21.5
12/1·13.00
SP
49
2yo · C · b
20.5
16/1·17.00
SP
54
J: Charles Bishop · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 7
2yo · C · b
5
22.0
9/2·5.50
SP
66
2yo · C · b
20.0
33/1·34.00
SP
73
J: Sean Levey · T: David Menuisier · draw 8
2yo · C · b
15.0
50/1·51.00
SP
82
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5
2yo · C · b
20.5
12/1·13.00
SP
97
J: David Probert · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 3
2yo · G · b
20.0
33/1·34.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:05 Haydock on 3 September 2026?

Burning Up (GB) won the 14:05 Haydock at SP 1.44. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:05 Haydock?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Burning Up, won the race (AI score 38.0).

What were the placings in the 14:05 Haydock?

Top finishers: 1. Burning Up (GB) (1.44), 2. Hands To Yourself (IRE) (15.00), 3. Under Arrest (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:05 Haydock?

The winning time was 1m 44.61s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org