14:52 Newcastle (AW)

Admiral Jackpot Novice Stakes (gbb/gbbplus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 4 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 3 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 4/9F·1.44

1st
Interstate (GB)AI top pick · 66.7
Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden
4/9F·1.44
SP
2nd
Treble Bass (GB)
Sean D Bowen·Roger Varian·beaten 2.25 lengths
11/1·12.00
SP
3rd
Quiet Summer (GER)
Daniel Muscutt·Andrew Balding·beaten .5 lengths
2/1·3.00
SP

Race time

2m 12.96s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Interstate (GB))

“Sat close up in second early - edged in front just past the 2f marker under a push - kicked clear inside the final furlong - comfortably on top at the finish”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.44 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Interstate

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 3yo

Top-rated of 4

score 66.7 · +32.8 clear of next best (33.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
28d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
75strong
John & Thady Gosden: 6/20 winners last 14d (30%)
Form20% weight
70strong
Last 6: 0-2-2-2
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 83 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 1.62 (Betfred) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newcastle (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.94

Mid (3–3)

IV 1.07

High (4–4)

IV 1.01

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 165 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Interstate J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 4 3yo · C · bbFT B	0222	9-07	83	—	—	66.7	4/9F·1.44 SP
2	3	Treble Bass J: Sean D Bowen · T: Roger Varian · draw 2 3yo · G · gr	63	9-07	—	—	—	31.3	11/1·12.00 SP
3	2	Quiet Summer J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3 3yo · C · ch	42	9-07	—	—	—	33.9	2/1·3.00 SP
4	4	Brittunculi J: William Pyle · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 1 3yo · F · ch	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	200/1·201.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:52 Newcastle (AW) on 3 September 2026?

Interstate (GB) won the 14:52 Newcastle (AW) at SP 1.44. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:52 Newcastle (AW)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Interstate, won the race (AI score 66.7).

What were the placings in the 14:52 Newcastle (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Interstate (GB) (1.44), 2. Treble Bass (GB) (12.00), 3. Quiet Summer (GER) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:52 Newcastle (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 12.96s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org