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17:45 Chepstow

DragonBet Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 5 runners · £3,768 · Monday, 31 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Zambezi Magic (GB)
    William Cox·Bernard Llewellyn
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Meet Me In Meraki (GB)
    Pat Dobbs·David Evans·beaten 0.3 lengths
    15/8F·2.88
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Staywitherjohnny (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Ciaran Murphy·beaten 1 length
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
2m 14.32s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Zambezi Magic (GB))

“Settled second early on eager terms - pushed to the front after a furlong - driven and pressed by rival with a furlong left - stayed on well to the line - never in danger of being caught”

AI top-rated Ghost Story (score 45.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ghost Story

Ghost Story heads this six-runner Chepstow contest on good-to-soft ground over ten furlongs, sitting narrowly ahead of Liberate on our assessments and holding a more meaningful edge over the rest of the field. Liberate represents the most obvious threat and will need to be watched closely throughout, while Meet Me In Meraki and Stipulation cannot be entirely dismissed if the selection fails to reproduce her best. The step up in trip and the going conditions look amenable, and on balance Ghost Story merits the call here.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ghost Story

Lewis Edmunds · John Butler · 5yo

Top-rated of 5
score 45.9 · +1.1 clear of next best (44.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    21d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    56average
    Last 6: 3-3-3-4-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 65 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    15weak
    John Butler: 1/18 winners last 14d (6%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.21
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–6)
IV 0.76

Today: Stipulation (draw 1) and Zambezi Magic (draw 2) get the bias; Liberate (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: William Cox · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 2
9yo · G · bh
57565
5832.9
20/1·21.00
SP
23
J: Pat Dobbs · T: David Evans · draw 4
5yo · G · b
787325
6144.8
15/8F·2.88
SP
36
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ciaran Murphy · draw 6
4yo · F · g
96395
5443.3
4/1·5.00
SP
42
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: John Butler · draw 3
5yo · M · br
33343
6545.9
2/1·3.00
SP
51
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 5
4yo · F · b
055921
6543.8
9/2·5.50
SP
——
5yo · G · bp
386762
6040.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:45 Chepstow on 31 August 2026?

Zambezi Magic (GB) won the 17:45 Chepstow at SP 21.00. Ridden by William Cox. Trained by Bernard Llewellyn.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:45 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Ghost Story) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 17:45 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Zambezi Magic (GB) (21.00), 2. Meet Me In Meraki (GB) (2.88), 3. Staywitherjohnny (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:45 Chepstow?

The winning time was 2m 14.32s.

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