14:30 Ascot

Charbonnel et Walker EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 11 runners · £13,500 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th

1st
San Jose (IRE)
James Doyle·Brian Meehan
15/8F·2.88
SP
2nd
Impasto (GB)
Colin Keane·Andrew Balding·beaten 2.75 lengths
100/30·4.33
SP
3rd
Korsakov (GB)
Tom Marquand·William Haggas·beaten 1.25 lengths
12/1·13.00
SP

Race time

1m 30.13s

Race time recorded.

In-running (San Jose (IRE))

“Set the pace from the off - edged clear over a furlong out then drifted left in the closing straight - held on gamely for the win”

AI top-rated Chymbulak (score 38.6) finished 5th.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Chymbulak

Ray Dawson · Roger Varian · 2yo

Top-rated of 11

score 38.6 · +7.1 clear of next best (31.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
30d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 2
Trainer20% weight
73strong
Roger Varian: 5/17 winners last 14d (29%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 5th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)

IV 0.87

Mid (5–8)

IV 0.98

High (9–11)

IV 1.16

Today: Chymbulak (draw 10) and Shimmering Shadow (draw 9) get the bias; Senor Blues (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	6	San Jose J: James Doyle · T: Brian Meehan · draw 5 2yo · C · b	4	9-07	—	—	—	31.5	15/8F·2.88 SP
2	3	Impasto J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 6 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	23.0	100/30·4.33 SP
3	4	Korsakov J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 1 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	25.5	12/1·13.00 SP
4	7	Senor Blues J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 2 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	27.5	50/1·51.00 SP
5	2	Chymbulak J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 10 2yo · C · b	2	9-07	—	—	—	38.6	15/2·8.50 SP
6	5	Moon Rock J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 3 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	24.0	28/1·29.00 SP
7	8	Shimmering Shadow J: William Buick · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 9 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	17.5	4/1·5.00 SP
8	10	Too Darn Regal J: George Wood · T: Harry Eustace · draw 11 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	40/1·41.00 SP
9	1	Ayuq J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 8 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	31.5	12/1·13.00 SP
10	9	Sky Mountain J: Rob Hornby · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 7 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	150/1·151.00 SP
10	11	Worthawhistle J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4 2yo · C · ch	—	9-07	—	—	—	15.0	12/1·13.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:30 Ascot on 4 September 2026?

San Jose (IRE) won the 14:30 Ascot at SP 2.88. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by Brian Meehan.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:30 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Chymbulak) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 14:30 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. San Jose (IRE) (2.88), 2. Impasto (GB) (4.33), 3. Korsakov (GB) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:30 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 30.13s.

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