Who won the 15:05 Ascot on 4 September 2026?
Clarity (IRE) won the 15:05 Ascot at SP 4.00. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by Andrew Balding.
15:05 Ascot
Ascot Events EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (GBB Race)
1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 10 runners · £13,500 · Friday, 4 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 3/1·4.00Race report
- 1stClarity (IRE)AI top pick · 56.5James Doyle·Andrew Balding3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndDivide And Conquer (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.3 lengths5/2F·3.50SP
- 3rdKaguyahime (IRE)Ray Dawson·Roger Varian·beaten 1.5 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 45.28s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Clarity (IRE))
“Settled behind the pace - moved through strongly with 2f left - pushed clear a furlong out - had to be driven when pressed inside the final 150yds - held on for the win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Clarity
James Doyle · Andrew Balding · 2yo
Top-rated of 11
score 56.5 · +25.0 clear of next best (31.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight59averageLast 6: 3-5-2
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight40below averageAndrew Balding: 9/55 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 4.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 11.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ascot 1m
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.87
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.98
High (9–11)
IV 1.16
Today: Just Scarlet (draw 11) and Comrade Alexi (draw 9) get the bias; Clarity (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 130 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: James Doyle · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 2yo · F · b | 352 | 80 | 56.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 2yo · F · b | — | — | 25.0 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 7 2yo · F · b | — | — | 29.5 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6 2yo · F · b | — | — | 15.0 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: William Buick · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 5 2yo · F · b | — | — | 31.5 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 11 2yo · F · b | 4 | — | 29.0 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Ed Walker · draw 9 2yo · F · b | — | — | 24.0 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 10 2yo · F · ch | 9 | — | 16.7 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 9 | 1 | J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 8 2yo · F · b | — | — | 20.0 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Jack Callan · T: S Woods · draw 1 2yo · F · b | — | — | 27.5 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Tom Ward · draw 3 2yo · F · ch | 6 | — | 17.0 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:05 Ascot?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Clarity, won the race (AI score 56.5).
What were the placings in the 15:05 Ascot?
Top finishers: 1. Clarity (IRE) (4.00), 2. Divide And Conquer (IRE) (3.50), 3. Kaguyahime (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:05 Ascot?
The winning time was 1m 45.28s.
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