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RacingAlpha

Irish Ebf Fillies' Novice Stakes (gbb Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Standard / Slow · 4 runners · £6,480 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Gilding The Lily (GB)
    Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden
    8/13F·1.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Star Mirage (USA)AI top pick · 49.6
    Faleh Bughanaim·Hamad Al Jehani·beaten .75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    River Nile (IRE)
    Callum Hutchinson·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.75 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
1m 40.61s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Gilding The Lily (GB))

Settled close up early - moved into second before a furlong gone then edged in front with just over a furlong left - held on strongly to the line for victory

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Star Mirage

Faleh Bughanaim · Hamad Al Jehani · 3yo

Top-rated of 4
score 49.6 · +4.6 clear of next best (45.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Hamad Al Jehani: 3/16 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Form20% weight
    34weak
    Last 6: 2-3-2-0-7
MarketBest price 21.00 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.05
Mid (3–3)
IV 1.17
High (4–4)
IV 0.80

Today: River Nile (draw 3) gets the bias; Gilding The Lily (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
3yo · F · b
21
45.0
8/13F·1.62
SP
24
J: Faleh Bughanaim · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 2
3yo · F · b
23207
7949.6
3/1·4.00
SP
33
3yo · F · b
63
27.3
4/1·5.00
SP
42
J: Marco Ghiani · T: Stuart Williams · draw 1
3yo · F · b
4
23.0
50/1·51.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:24 Kempton (AW) on 4 September 2026?

Gilding The Lily (GB) won the 18:24 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.62. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:24 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Star Mirage) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 18:24 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Gilding The Lily (GB) (1.62), 2. Star Mirage (USA) (4.00), 3. River Nile (IRE) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:24 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 1m 40.61s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org