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RacingAlpha

16:25 Down Royal

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

5f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €9,000 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick was a non-runner
  1. 1st
    Forza Magico (GB)
    J M Sheridan·John James Feane
    1/1F·2.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Osterode (IRE)
    Declan McDonogh·W McCreery·beaten .75 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Otsana (IRE)
    W J Lee·P Twomey·beaten 1.75 lengths
    2/1·3.00
    SP
Race time
1m 0.96s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Forza Magico (GB))

Held up early - moved into contention with 2f left - pushed into second inside final furlong - hit front close home and stayed on strongly to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Famed Again

Top-rated of 12
score 46.7 · +12.0 clear of next best (34.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100small sample (n=2)
    Miss Hilary McLoughlin: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    65d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    38below average
    OR 57
  • Form20% weight
    6weak
    Last 6: 5-0-0-7-0
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 5f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.58
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.33
High (11–14)
IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 30 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: J M Sheridan · T: John James Feane · draw 12
3yo · F · b
52
20.9
1/1F·2.00
SP
28
J: Declan McDonogh · T: W McCreery · draw 11
3yo · F · bv
45
33.0
8/1·9.00
SP
39
J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 14
3yo · F · b
5
14.5
2/1·3.00
SP
47
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: H Rogers · draw 10
3yo · F · b
0
8.5
50/1·51.00
SP
53
J: Leigh Roche · T: Gerard Kyne · draw 1
4yo · F · b
0800
10.4
250/1·251.00
SP
62
J: Gary Carroll · T: A Oliver · draw 9
3yo · G · b
05560
6432.9
12/1·13.00
SP
75
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Sean Byrne · draw 3
3yo · F · b
0
18.5
66/1·67.00
SP
86
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 5
3yo · F · b
05280
6034.0
8/1·9.00
SP
911
3yo · F · bt
0008
5.3
300/1·301.00
SP
1010
J: James Ryan · T: Thomas Coyle · draw 8
3yo · F · b
0060
9.7
250/1·251.00
SP
1112
3yo · F · br
15.0
22/1·23.00
SP
121
J: Adam Caffrey · T: R K Watson · draw 2
3yo · G · b
088
8.2
250/1·251.00
SP
J: · T: M C Grassick · draw 13
3yo · F · b
90474
5734.7
J: · T: Miss Hilary McLoughlin · draw 6
4yo · F · b
50070
5746.7

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Down Royal on 4 September 2026?

Forza Magico (GB) won the 16:25 Down Royal at SP 2.00. Ridden by J M Sheridan. Trained by John James Feane.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Famed Again) was a non-runner or unplaced.

What were the placings in the 16:25 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Forza Magico (GB) (2.00), 2. Osterode (IRE) (9.00), 3. Otsana (IRE) (3.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Down Royal?

The winning time was 1m 0.96s.

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