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18:00 Down Royal

Ireland

Grant Thornton Ulster Cesarewitch Handicap

2m2½f · Flat · Good · 13 runners · €9,000 · Friday, 4 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    Boxing Great (IRE)
    Adam Caffrey·Karl Thornton
    100/30F·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Zoffman (IRE)
    Nicola Burns·Noel Meade·beaten 0.3 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Yogini (IRE)
    Gavin Ryan·Donnacha Aidan O'Brien·beaten 2.75 lengths
    28/1·29.00
    SP
Race time
3m 57.55s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Boxing Great (IRE))

Sat close to the front pack - asked for effort over 2f out - moved up inside to challenge early in straight - hit front a furlong out - held on under renewed pressure close home to prevail

AI top-rated Trubshaw (score 54.6) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ragmans Corner

Ragmans Corner holds a clear edge over this competitive seventeen-runner field at Down Royal, sitting narrowly ahead of the chasing pack on our ratings and looking the most credible contender over this stamina-testing eighteen-furlong trip on good ground. Feud and Happy Jacky, both rated five pounds inferior, represent the chief dangers alongside Way Down South, who comes in a further seven pounds adrift and will need to find improvement to bridge that gap. The wide field adds an element of unpredictability, but Ragmans Corner's superior profile makes him a worthy call with high confidence. Ragmans Corner is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Trubshaw

Gabriella Hill(7) · Henry De Bromhead · 4yo

Top-rated of 13
score 54.6 · +3.8 clear of next best (50.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    Henry De Bromhead: 7/30 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 8-0-6-7-1
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Down Royal 2m2½f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 0.92
Mid (7–12)
IV 1.31
High (13–17)
IV 0.81

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Adam Caffrey · T: Karl Thornton · draw 8
6yo · G · cht
18681
7442.8
100/30F·4.33
SP
25
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Noel Meade · draw 10
7yo · G · b
68030
7335.1
4/1·5.00
SP
314
3yo · C · btb
620
7446.0
28/1·29.00
SP
49
J: W J Lee · T: Gillian Scott · draw 6
7yo · G · b
95765
7138.2
18/1·19.00
SP
54
4yo · G · chb
80671
7454.6
13/2·7.50
SP
63
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 1
12yo · G · b
3890
7435.1
12/1·13.00
SP
78
J: Ben Coen · T: Peter Fahey · draw 12
8yo · G · bbFT B
34066
7136.6
15/2·8.50
SP
811
J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 5
9yo · G · bt
00086
7032.2
50/1·51.00
SP
97
J: Gary Carroll · T: Noel Meade · draw 3
6yo · G · btb
2006
7135.3
11/1·12.00
SP
1010
6yo · G · bp
37553
7042.3
25/1·26.00
SP
1115
5yo · M · bbFT B
42407
6841.6
18/1·19.00
SP
1213
J: Chris Hayes · T: C A McBratney · draw 15
5yo · M · bp
00156
6839.6
10/1·11.00
SP
1312
J: Wayne Lordan · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 14
4yo · F · b
20004
6935.5
6/1·7.00
SP
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Gerard Keane · draw 7
7yo · G · br
33081
8050.8
J: J M Sheridan · T: Gerard O'Leary · draw 11
6yo · G · b
3040
7237.9
J: · T: A J Martin · draw 16
4yo · G · b
27706
6748.2
J: · T: H Rogers · draw 2
4yo · G · b
833102
6643.2

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:00 Down Royal on 4 September 2026?

Boxing Great (IRE) won the 18:00 Down Royal at SP 4.33. Ridden by Adam Caffrey. Trained by Karl Thornton.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:00 Down Royal?

No — the AI top pick (Trubshaw) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 18:00 Down Royal?

Top finishers: 1. Boxing Great (IRE) (4.33), 2. Zoffman (IRE) (5.00), 3. Yogini (IRE) (29.00).

What was the winning time for the 18:00 Down Royal?

The winning time was 3m 57.55s.

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