Who won the 19:00 Down Royal on 4 September 2026?
Flagstone Lady (IRE) won the 19:00 Down Royal at SP 3.50. Ridden by Reese Holohan. Trained by M D O'Callaghan.
19:00 Down Royal
IrelandGrant Thornton Handicap (Div I)
1m5f · Flat · Good · 13 runners · €6,000 · Friday, 4 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stFlagstone Lady (IRE)Reese Holohan·M D O'Callaghan5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndNo More Hiding (GB)W J Lee·A Oliver·beaten 2.5 lengths7/2·4.50SP
- 3rdMiss Australie (IRE)Sam Coen·Adrian McGuinness·beaten 3.25 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
2m 51.33s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Flagstone Lady (IRE))
“Settled just behind the pace - 4th at halfway - hemmed in approaching 2f out before finding room out wide - drove to the front inside the final furlong and stayed on strongly to win”
AI top-rated Vervain (score 47.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Plains Indian
Plains Indian heads a wide-open seventeen-runner field at Down Royal over thirteen furlongs on good ground, sitting narrowly ahead of nearest rivals Limestone Red and God Of Thunder, who share a rating eight points back, with Miss Australie a further two behind. The selection's edge over such a sizeable field is meaningful rather than marginal, and on form merits Plains Indian is entitled to take a good deal of beating in this company. Limestone Red and God Of Thunder represent the most credible threats and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Miss Australie may also have a say if stepping forward. Plains Indian is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Vervain
Jimmy Dalton(7) · David Harry Kelly · 4yo
Top-rated of 13
score 47.5 · +1.6 clear of next best (45.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight50averageDavid Harry Kelly: 3/15 winners last 14d (20%)
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 0-4-4-2-5
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 55
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Down Royal 1m5f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–6)
IV 0.92
Mid (7–12)
IV 1.31
High (13–17)
IV 0.81
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 17 3yo · F · g | 806083 | 49 | 37.9 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 7 | 3yo · F · b | 09585 | 54 | 31.9 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 8 5yo · M · b | 108561 | 66 | 44.5 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: David Harry Kelly · draw 7 4yo · F · bt | 04425 | 55 | 47.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 5 | 6 | J: Rory Cleary · T: Tracey Collins · draw 1 6yo · G · chp | 148823 | 47 | 35.3 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 6 | 5 | J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 15 5yo · G · bp | 965834 | 50 | 34.3 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 5 7yo · G · btp | 300670 | 56 | 27.7 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Leigh Roche · T: W R Crawford · draw 12 3yo · G · bht | 00290 | 51 | 30.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: W M Roper · draw 14 6yo · M · baybrownb | 06800 | 45 | 45.9 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 10 | 9 | J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 6 3yo · F · bt | 0070 | 53 | 33.1 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John C McConnell · draw 2 3yo · F · brpFT P | 007 | 54 | 34.5 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 12 | 13 | J: Robert Whearty · T: P Cluskey · draw 16 3yo · F · b | 08060 | 51 | 36.8 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 13 | 2 | J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: M J Tynan · draw 13 10yo · G · ch | 3004 | 60 | 37.3 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Reserve 3 · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 3 3yo · F · bt | 50680 | 52 | 26.1 | — |
| — | — | 5yo · M · bp | 00058 | 43 | 25.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Reserve 2 · T: Liam P Cusack · draw 10 10yo · G · chp | 67728 | 40 | 29.4 | — |
| — | — | J: Reserve 1 · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 9 6yo · G · gp | 483000 | 51 | 29.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:00 Down Royal?
No — the AI top pick (Vervain) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 19:00 Down Royal?
Top finishers: 1. Flagstone Lady (IRE) (3.50), 2. No More Hiding (GB) (4.50), 3. Miss Australie (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 19:00 Down Royal?
The winning time was 2m 51.33s.
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