Who won the 19:30 Down Royal on 4 September 2026?
Dancing Steve (IRE) won the 19:30 Down Royal at SP 9.50. Ridden by Sam Coen. Trained by Adrian McGuinness.
19:30 Down Royal
IrelandGrant Thornton Handicap (Div II)
1m5f · Flat · Good · 12 runners · €6,000 · Friday, 4 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stDancing Steve (IRE)Sam Coen·Adrian McGuinness17/2·9.50SP
- 2ndConnecteo (IRE)Ben Coen·A Oliver·beaten .5 lengths4/1J·5.00SP
- 3rdAcanto (IRE)Adam Caffrey·Noel Meade·beaten 1 length20/1·21.00SP
Race time
2m 48.70s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Dancing Steve (IRE))
“Settled in the pack - urged forward approaching final 2 furlongs - moved into second inside the last furlong - took command close home and stayed on to win”
AI top-rated Spy (score 45.2) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Autocrat
Autocrat heads this competitive seventeen-runner field at Down Royal on a rating four points clear of Acanto, and his profile over thirteen furlongs on good ground gives him a solid case at the head of affairs. Acanto represents the most obvious threat and will need watching, while Spy and Connecteo are also dangers capable of running into the places if anything goes amiss with the selection. The field is large and fortune in running will play its part, which tempers confidence slightly, but on the ratings and form in hand Autocrat is the one to be on and the verdict goes his way.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Spy
W J Lee · C Byrnes · 7yo
Top-rated of 12
score 45.2 · +5.5 clear of next best (39.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight43below averageLast 6: 3-3-6-1-0
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 59 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight35small sample (n=7)C Byrnes: 1/7 winners last 14d (14%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Down Royal 1m5f
full course data →Sample too small to call at this course and trip.
Low (1–6)
IV 0.92
Mid (7–12)
IV 1.31
High (13–17)
IV 0.81
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 33 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Sam Coen(5) · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 11 5yo · G · bv | 00083 | 56 | 39.7 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 2 | 9 | 3yo · G · chtpFT TP | 82476 | 56 | 31.8 | 4/1J·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Noel Meade · draw 1 4yo · F · bbFT B | 549 | 53 | 30.8 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 13 5yo · G · btp | 558375 | 58 | 35.2 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | 7yo · G · bv | 33610 | 59 | 45.2 | 4/1J·5.00 SP |
| 6 | 15 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Cian Hughes · draw 2 4yo · G · bv | 402268 | 49 | 39.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Wayne Lordan · T: T J O'Mara · draw 8 6yo · G · b | 51573 | 59 | 38.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 8 | 13 | J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: P Sweeney · draw 4 6yo · G · btb | 170009 | 43 | 24.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 11 | J: Chris Hayes · T: E Sheehy · draw 9 3yo · F · bp | 660368 | 56 | 33.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 3 4yo · F · b | 755305 | 48 | 28.6 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 11 | 8 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 5 5yo · M · bht | 030006 | 49 | 35.6 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 7 3yo · F · bbFT B | 63386 | 55 | 34.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rory Cleary · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 16 4yo · F · brt | 89509 | 51 | 28.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Leigh Roche · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 6 6yo · G · btpFT TP | 06490 | 51 | 26.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John C McConnell · draw 10 8yo · G · bp | 8977 | 41 | 23.7 | — |
| — | — | J: · T: Thomas Cleary · draw 12 4yo · F · b | 870600 | 40 | 31.5 | — |
| — | — | J: · T: A J Martin · draw 15 5yo · G · bt | 05506 | 40 | 35.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:30 Down Royal?
No — the AI top pick (Spy) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 19:30 Down Royal?
Top finishers: 1. Dancing Steve (IRE) (9.50), 2. Connecteo (IRE) (5.00), 3. Acanto (IRE) (21.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:30 Down Royal?
The winning time was 2m 48.70s.
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