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14:45 Ascot

tote £75k Guaranteed Placepot Today EBF "Confined" Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Run No More Than Once) (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £15,462 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Pensando A Te (GB)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Marco Botti
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Asheyra (IRE)
    Cieren Fallon·Roger Varian·beaten 1.75 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Dannahue (IRE)AI top pick · 38.6
    Connor Planas·Charlie Appleby·beaten 0.3 lengths
    7/4·2.75
    SP
Race time
1m 16.17s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Pensando A Te (GB))

“Held a spot in third early - advanced fluently to loom up 2f out - roused to hit the front inside final furlong - stayed on strongly before being taken in hand near the line”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Dannahue

Connor Planas · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 4
score 38.6 · level with next best (38.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 4/12 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    79d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 6.00 (SportingIndex) · 2nd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ascot 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.07
Mid (3–3)
IV 0.72
High (4–4)
IV 1.19

Today: La Pittura (draw 4) gets the bias; Pensando A Te (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 107 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
Pensando A Te
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Marco Botti · draw 3
2yo · F · bl
2
—38.6
6/5F·2.20
SP
21
Asheyra
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Roger Varian · draw 1
2yo · F · bhFT H
3
—31.0
9/2·5.50
SP
32
Dannahue
J: Connor Planas · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 2
2yo · F · b
2
—38.6
7/4·2.75
SP
43
La Pittura
J: David Probert · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
2yo · F · b
——22.5
10/1·11.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:45 Ascot on 5 September 2026?

Pensando A Te (GB) won the 14:45 Ascot at SP 2.20. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Marco Botti.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Ascot?

No — the AI top pick (Dannahue) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:45 Ascot?

Top finishers: 1. Pensando A Te (GB) (2.20), 2. Asheyra (IRE) (5.50), 3. Dannahue (IRE) (2.75).

What was the winning time for the 14:45 Ascot?

The winning time was 1m 16.17s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org