18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

William Hill Keep Your Raceday Positive Handicap Stakes (London Stayers' Series Qualifier) (GBBPlus Race)

2m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 6 runners · £6,281 · Saturday, 5 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Naval Tribute (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·James Owen
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Flash Kozo (IRE)
    Kaiya Fraser·Harry Eustace·beaten 2.75 lengths
    9/4F·3.25
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Campeona (GB)AI top pick · 68.9
    Dylan Hogan·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten 4 lengths
    11/4·3.75
    SP
Race time
3m 31.02s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Naval Tribute (GB))

slow to begin at back - pushed along 2f out - closed to challenge entering final furlong - hit front soon after - pulled away last 110yds

Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Barenboim

Barenboim holds a narrow edge over the chasing pack on our figures, sitting narrowly ahead of An Bradan Feasa and Naval Tribute, who share the same rating and represent the principal dangers alongside Flash Kozo, each capable of making this competitive over the extended two miles on the Kempton Polytrack. The standard-to-slow conditions and the stamina test of sixteen furlongs should suit a staying type, and Barenboim's superior rating gives a slender but genuine reason to side with him, though the closeness of the form figures means the contest is far from a formality. Our selection is Barenboim.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Campeona

Dylan Hogan · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 68.9 · +12.3 clear of next best (56.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    91very strong
    Last 6: 2-1-1-1-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    80very strong
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 6/19 winners last 14d (32%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 74
MarketBest price 4.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 2m

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.35).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.35
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.78
High (5–6)
IV 0.82

Today: An Bradan Feasa (draw 2) and Betelgeuse (draw 1) get the bias; Naval Tribute (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 69 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Rossa Ryan · T: James Owen · draw 4
5yo · G · bv
617121
8152.3
5/2·3.50
SP
26
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 3
3yo · G · ch
430512
7245.9
9/4F·3.25
SP
35
3yo · F · bp
21112
7468.9
11/4·3.75
SP
43
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Jack Jones · draw 2
6yo · G · b
12222
7456.6
4/1·5.00
SP
52
J: William Cox · T: Tom Dascombe · draw 5
8yo · G · bp
698930
7538.7
50/1·51.00
SP
64
J: Liam Wright(3) · T: S Woods · draw 1
4yo · G · chp
253253
6653.9
28/1·29.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:05 Kempton (AW) on 5 September 2026?

Naval Tribute (GB) won the 17:05 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by James Owen.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:05 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Campeona) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 17:05 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Naval Tribute (GB) (3.50), 2. Flash Kozo (IRE) (3.25), 3. Campeona (GB) (3.75).

What was the winning time for the 17:05 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 3m 31.02s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org