14:40 Goodwood

Royal Sussex Regiment Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)

7f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 6 runners · £20,616 · Tuesday, 8 September 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Sorrengail

No. 3 · score 73.6 · +14.5 clear of next best · best 4/5·1.81

Best value vs consensus

The Can Can Queen

27·27.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair (consensus 22.76)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: SorrengailAgrees with our pick

Sorrengail heads this six-runner Class 2 contest at Goodwood on ratings and looks the one to beat over seven furlongs on good ground, holding a clear edge over The Can Can Queen and a wider advantage over the remainder. The Can Can Queen represents the most obvious threat, with Spirit Tango and Al Samsama also capable of making this competitive, but Sorrengail's superior rating reflects a consistent level of form that should see her through. The selection is Sorrengail.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Sorrengail

William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 6

score 73.6 · +14.5 clear of next best (59.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
25d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
90very strong
Charlie Appleby: 5/14 winners last 14d (36%)
Form20% weight
80strong
Last 6: 4-1-2
Ratings50% weight
59average
OR 89 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 1.81 (Matchbook) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(3)
1Al Samsama 5The Can Can Queen 6Global Success
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
3Sorrengail
Unknown(2)
2China In Your Hand 4Spirit Tango

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Goodwood 7f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.15).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.15

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.07

High (5–6)

IV 0.77

Today: China In Your Hand (draw 1) and Al Samsama (draw 2) get the bias; Sorrengail (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	SorrengailPick J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 6 · combo 20/57 (35%) 2yo · F · bhFT H	412	9-06	89	—	—	73.6	EVS·2.00	1.81·1.81 Matchbook · -9% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook1.81·1.81Betfair Exchange1.81·1.81Smarkets1.8·1.80William Hill8/11·1.73 Bet3658/11·1.73 SmarketsSBK8/11·1.73 Bet Victor4/6·1.67 Betano4/6·1.67 7Bet4/6·1.67 Boyle Sports4/6·1.67 Coral4/6·1.67 Ladbrokes4/6·1.67Hollywood Bets67/100·1.67Unibet4/6·1.67 BetMGM4/6·1.67 BetTom4/6·1.67 Quinn Bet4/6·1.67 SportingIndex4/6·1.67 Spreadex4/6·1.67Betfair Sportsbook4/6·1.67Paddy Power4/6·1.67 Star Sports4/6·1.67 BetWright4/6·1.67 Betfred4/6·1.67 Dragon Bet4/6·1.67Virgin Bet8/13·1.62Midnite8/13·1.62 LiveScore Bet8/13·1.62
4	Spirit Tango J: Oisin Murphy · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 2yo · F · bOnly runner	51	9-06	82	—	—	59.2	5/1·5.99	9/2·5.50 Virgin Bet · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Virgin Bet9/2·5.50LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Matchbook5.4·5.40Betfair Exchange5.4·5.40Smarkets5.3·5.30Betano4/1·5.00Hollywood Bets4/1·5.00Midnite4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 BetMGM7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50
2	China In Your Hand J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 1 · combo 6/65 (9%) 2yo · F · bClass dropDOnly runner	317	9-06	82	—	—	49.0	11/1·11.98	10/1·11.00 Bet365 · -8% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36510/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Coral9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00Hollywood Bets9/1·10.00Midnite9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 BetMGM9/1·10.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00Matchbook10·10.00Smarkets10·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange9.8·9.80 7Bet17/2·9.50Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50BetWright17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50
5	The Can Can Queen J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 3 · combo 2/29 (7%) 2yo · F · b	515307	9-06	82	—	—	46.5	22/1·22.76	27·27.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook27·27.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Smarkets26·26.00BetMGM20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook20/1·21.00Paddy Power20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00 7Bet18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Hollywood Bets18/1·19.00SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Bet36516/1·17.00
6	Global Success J: Taylor Fisher · T: J S Moore · draw 5 · combo 0/43 (0%) 2yo · F · bbFT BOnly rideOnly runner	632525	9-02	66	—	—	45.1	50/1·49.12	46·46.00 Smarkets · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets46·46.00SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00Matchbook44·44.007Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00Hollywood Bets40/1·41.00Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Betfair Exchange18·18.00
1	Al Samsama J: Ryan Moore · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 · combo 1/6 (17%) 2yo · F · b	1	9-06	—	—	—	34.0	9/2·5.39	6.2·6.20 Betfair Exchange · +15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20Matchbook6·6.00Smarkets6·6.00SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 BetMGM7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Hollywood Bets7/2·4.50Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50William Hill7/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50Betfair Sportsbook10/3·4.33Unibet10/3·4.33

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 20% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Royal Sussex Regiment Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race)?

The Royal Sussex Regiment Ebf Fillies' Conditions Stakes (gbb Race) is off at 14:40 on 8 September 2026 at Goodwood (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:40 Goodwood?

7f, Class 2, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:40 Goodwood?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:40 Goodwood?

The AI top-rated runner is Sorrengail (score 73.6, best price 1.81). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:40 Goodwood?

The market favourite is Sorrengail at a best price of 1.81.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org