15:47 Carlisle

Deanta Fire Door Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 12 runners · £3,402 · Wednesday, 9 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd

1st
Solid Bond (IRE)
Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll
9/1·10.00
SP
2nd
Albegone (GB)AI top pick · 48.8
Jake Dickson·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths
13/2·7.50
SP
3rd
Cotai Starlight (IRE)
Sam James·Katie Scott·beaten 1.25 lengths
5/1·6.00
SP

Race time

1m 2.08s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Solid Bond (IRE))

“Set the pace throughout - roused with a furlong left as challenge came under pressure and drifted left - held on for the win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Solid Bond

Solid Bond arrives here on a progressive profile that gives him an edge over several rivals in this competitive thirteen-runner sprint at Carlisle, and a fitness advantage strengthens the case for siding with him on good-to-soft ground over five furlongs. Cape Sovereign holds the highest rating in the field and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Midnight Lir and Albegone also pose genuine threats in what looks an open Class 6 contest. The confidence is modest, but the upward trajectory and readiness to run make Solid Bond the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Albegone

Jake Dickson(5) · Tim Easterby · 8yo

Top-rated of 12

score 48.8 · +2.6 clear of next best (46.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
15d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
55average
Last 6: 3-7-2-6-5-1
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Tim Easterby: 15/88 winners last 14d (17%)
Ratings50% weight
39below average
OR 58

MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Carlisle 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)

IV 0.99

Mid (6–9)

IV 1.10

High (10–13)

IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	7	Solid Bond J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 2 4yo · F · bt	07083	9-05	55	—	—	46.3	9/1·10.00 SP
2	3	Albegone J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 1 8yo · G · bp	372651	9-08	58	—	—	48.8	13/2·7.50 SP
3	2	Cotai Starlight J: Sam James · T: Katie Scott · draw 9 3yo · F · ch	581452	9-09	60	—	—	37.9	5/1·6.00 SP
4	13	Bust A Moon J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Derek Shaw · draw 7 4yo · G · chh	60354	8-10	46	—	—	29.6	28/1·29.00 SP
5	11	Royal Duke J: Greg Fairley · T: R Mike Smith · draw 12 5yo · G · btp	565071	8-13	49	—	—	40.3	11/1·12.00 SP
6	8	Opal Storm J: Tom Eaves · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 8 6yo · M · btp	081894	9-05	55	—	—	34.6	16/1·17.00 SP
7	9	Never Dark J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 4 9yo · G · bp	667263	9-04	54	—	—	38.9	100/30F·4.33 SP
8	4	Bibendum J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 5 5yo · G · bp	501655	9-08	58	—	—	38.4	6/1·7.00 SP
9	6	Midnight Lir J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 3 5yo · G · btv	934448	9-07	57	—	—	38.9	6/1·7.00 SP
10	1	Cape Sovereign J: Clifford Lee · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 10 4yo · G · btpFirst after wind op	57900	9-09	59	—	—	30.7	33/1·34.00 SP
11	5	Go Victor J: Billy Garritty · T: Tony Culhane & Stella Barclay · draw 6 3yo · G · b	00913	9-07	58	—	—	37.4	20/1·21.00 SP
12	12	Kyber Crystal J: Cieren Fallon · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 13 7yo · M · grtp	505576	8-11	47	—	—	32.3	12/1·13.00 SP
—	—	Pivotal Terms J: Cara Tuke(7) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 11 3yo · F · ch	625047	9-02	53	—	—	35.7	—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:47 Carlisle on 9 September 2026?

Solid Bond (IRE) won the 15:47 Carlisle at SP 10.00. Ridden by Zak Wheatley. Trained by Declan Carroll.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:47 Carlisle?

No — the AI top pick (Albegone) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 15:47 Carlisle?

Top finishers: 1. Solid Bond (IRE) (10.00), 2. Albegone (GB) (7.50), 3. Cotai Starlight (IRE) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:47 Carlisle?

The winning time was 1m 2.08s.

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