Who won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) on 9 September 2026?
Mercantile (GB) won the 17:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 1.50. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Daniel & Claire Kubler.
17:30 Kempton (AW)
Unibet/breeders Backing Racing Ebf Maiden Stakes (gbb Race)
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard / Slow · 11 runners · £5,400 · Wednesday, 9 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stMercantile (GB)Billy Loughnane·Daniel & Claire Kubler1/2F·1.50SP
- 2ndAssiri Heights (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.25 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdProtectrix (IRE)Kieren Fox·John Butler·beaten .75 lengths400/1·401.00SP
Race time
1m 39.44s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Mercantile (GB))
“Set the pace from the off - urged forward inside final furlong - kept finding under pressure - held clear to the line unopposed”
AI top-rated Venetian Sky (score 56.9) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Venetian Sky
Tom Marquand · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 11
score 56.9 · +28.3 clear of next best (28.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong31d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight63averageWilliam Haggas: 13/52 winners last 14d (25%)
- Form20% weight53averageLast 6: 3-4-4-5-2
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m
full course data →Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.05
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.17
High (9–12)
IV 0.80
Today: Assiri Heights (draw 7) and Open To Offers (draw 6) get the bias; Sea Brave (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 2 | — | 25.6 | 1/2F·1.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 7 3yo · C · chtFT T | 96 | — | 23.1 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 11 | J: Kieren Fox · T: John Butler · draw 5 3yo · F · b | 76 | — | 19.2 | 400/1·401.00 SP |
| 4 | 9 | J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 22 | — | 28.6 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 8 | J: David Egan · T: Brian Meehan · draw 1 3yo · G · b | 95 | — | 24.4 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Luke Morris · T: Robert Stephens · draw 11 5yo · G · b | 5 | — | 14.5 | 150/1·151.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Paddy Bradley · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 9 3yo · G · b | — | — | 15.0 | 250/1·251.00 SP |
| 8 | 12 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 3 3yo · F · ch | 34452 | 76 | 56.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 9 | 7 | J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 6 3yo · G · b | 87 | — | 20.2 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Jason Watson · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · draw 12 3yo · G · cht | 75 | — | 22.5 | 300/1·301.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Nick Littmoden · draw 8 4yo · G · br | — | — | 16.5 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Alice Bond(5) · T: Martin Dunne · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 09 | — | 10.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Venetian Sky) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Mercantile (GB) (1.50), 2. Assiri Heights (IRE) (8.00), 3. Protectrix (IRE) (401.00).
What was the winning time for the 17:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 39.44s.
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