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Next · 22m14:50Listowel

14:51 Redcar

racingtv.com/freetrial Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 11 runners · £6,542 · Wednesday, 9 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Per Contra (IRE)
    David Allan·Tim Easterby
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Percy's Daydream (GB)
    Kevin Stott·David O'Meara·beaten 1.75 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lucky Hero (IRE)AI top pick · 56.3
    Conor Whiteley·David O'Meara·beaten 0.1 lengths
    7/4F·2.75
    SP
Race time
2m 3.82s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Per Contra (IRE))

“Settled in the pack - moved forward from 3f out - contested the front entering the final furlong - pulled away to win going away”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Per Contra

Per Contra arrives on a progressive profile that gives grounds for optimism despite sitting a pound behind the top-rated Percy's Daydream, and the step up to ten furlongs on good ground at Redcar looks a reasonable opportunity to confirm that upward trajectory. Percy's Daydream heads the field on ratings and must be respected as the principal danger, while Thunder Wonder and Golden Redemption, both narrowly behind the top-rated, add depth to the opposition and cannot be dismissed lightly. Confidence is tempered given the competitive nature of the contest and the small margin that separates several of these runners. Per Contra is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lucky Hero

Conor Whiteley(5) · David O'Meara · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 56.3 · +3.4 clear of next best (53.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    33d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    75strong
    Last 6: 1-0-4-3-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 85 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    David O'Meara: 4/47 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.12
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.96
High (9–11)
IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
17
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6
5yo · G · bp
480483
7847.7
100/30·4.33
SP
25
J: Kevin Stott · T: David O'Meara · draw 5
4yo · F · ch
014445
8049.9
11/1·12.00
SP
36
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 2
3yo · G · ch
104311
8556.3
7/4F·2.75
SP
42
J: P J McDonald · T: Roger Varian · draw 1
5yo · G · b
51673
8352.3
13/2·7.50
SP
59
3yo · C · b
44227
7851.6
14/1·15.00
SP
68
J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 3
8yo · G · bp
551538
7753.0
66/1·67.00
SP
711
J: James Sullivan · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 9
3yo · F · b
72134
7245.0
28/1·29.00
SP
810
J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 11
3yo · C · b
71695
7639.8
40/1·41.00
SP
93
4yo · G · ch
04835
8346.5
4/1·5.00
SP
101
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 10
4yo · G · b
58104
8546.5
25/1·26.00
SP
114
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Geoffrey Harker · draw 4
4yo · C · b
33278
8240.8
66/1·67.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:51 Redcar on 9 September 2026?

Per Contra (IRE) won the 14:51 Redcar at SP 4.33. Ridden by David Allan. Trained by Tim Easterby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:51 Redcar?

No — the AI top pick (Lucky Hero) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 14:51 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Per Contra (IRE) (4.33), 2. Percy's Daydream (GB) (12.00), 3. Lucky Hero (IRE) (2.75).

What was the winning time for the 14:51 Redcar?

The winning time was 2m 3.82s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org