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RacingAlpha

15:21 Redcar

Constant Security Services Handicap Stakes (Div I)

1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 9 runners · £3,664 · Wednesday, 9 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Talitha Rouge (IRE)
    Mark Winn·David O'Meara
    9/4·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Woodleigh (IRE)
    Oisin McSweeney·Roger Fell·beaten 2 lengths
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Bay Dream Believer (IRE)
    Jason Hart·Mark Walford·beaten 1.75 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
2m 7.51s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Talitha Rouge (IRE))

“Settled close to the pace - shifted right and began to close 1f out - hit the front inside the final furlong - stayed on strongly to score”

AI top-rated Phantom Shadow (score 47.5) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Promethean

Promethean heads this ten-runner Class 5 contest at Redcar on good ground narrowly ahead of Talitha Rouge, with Chesneys Charm and Kartini also capable of making their presence felt over this ten-furlong trip, and the selection will need to be at its best to repel those three dangers. The confidence in the pick is modest, but Promethean's edge over the field gives it the clearest case on form, and it is a tentative vote for the selection. Promethean is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Phantom Shadow

P J McDonald · Ewan Whillans · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 47.5 · level with next best (47.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    32d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    57average
    Last 6: 2-3-5-2-1-7
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 68 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Ewan Whillans: 1/10 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 1m2f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.12
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.96
High (8–10)
IV 0.91

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 7
3yo · F · ch
34362
6747.5
9/4·3.25
SP
27
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Roger Fell · draw 1
5yo · G · b
554516
5944.4
11/2·6.50
SP
33
J: Jason Hart · T: Mark Walford · draw 10
7yo · M · bh
176153
6444.8
12/1·13.00
SP
44
J: P J McDonald · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 6
3yo · G · ch
235217
6847.5
9/1·10.00
SP
56
J: Kevin Stott · T: Simon Whitaker · draw 2
4yo · F · gr
92606
6042.8
14/1·15.00
SP
69
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 5
4yo · G · btpFT TP
995948
5232.8
16/1·17.00
SP
72
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 9
4yo · G · b
76073
6539.2
2/1F·3.00
SP
88
3yo · G · ch
615514
6245.6
12/1·13.00
SP
910
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Rebecca Menzies · draw 8
3yo · F · b
122300
5741.5
40/1·41.00
SP
——
J: Jonathan England · T: Sam England · draw 3
5yo · G · grt
00980
6937.3—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:21 Redcar on 9 September 2026?

Talitha Rouge (IRE) won the 15:21 Redcar at SP 3.25. Ridden by Mark Winn. Trained by David O'Meara.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:21 Redcar?

No — the AI top pick (Phantom Shadow) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:21 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Talitha Rouge (IRE) (3.25), 2. Woodleigh (IRE) (6.50), 3. Bay Dream Believer (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:21 Redcar?

The winning time was 2m 7.51s.

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