Who won the 16:52 Epsom on 10 September 2026?
Likeness (IRE) won the 16:52 Epsom at SP 26.00. Ridden by George Bass. Trained by Jack Channon.
16:52 Epsom
Business Pilot Handicap Stakes
1m½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 10 runners · £4,449 · Thursday, 10 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stLikeness (IRE)George Bass·Jack Channon25/1·26.00SP
- 2ndMy Old Mate (IRE)Rhys Clutterbuck·Gary & Josh Moore·beaten 1 length7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdFizzy Bear (IRE)Jack Dace·George Baker·beaten .5 lengths25/1·26.00SP
Race time
1m 47.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Likeness (IRE))
“Settled in a forward spot - pushed along a furlong out and closed on the leader - hit the front inside the final 110 yards - kept finding to prevail”
AI top-rated Wild Dahlia (score 57.9) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Arbaawy
Arbaawy enters this mile contest at Epsom narrowly ahead of the field on our figures, carrying a five-pound edge over Island Bear and seven over Mayaada, and on good-to-soft ground over this trip he looks the one most likely to see things out in a competitive ten-runner Class 5. Island Bear and Mayaada are the most obvious threats, with Likeness also worth noting if improving, though Arbaawy's superior rating just about tips the argument his way. The selection is Arbaawy.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Wild Dahlia
Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 57.9 · +5.5 clear of next best (52.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong20d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight60averageWilliam Haggas: 13/54 winners last 14d (24%)
- Form20% weight55averageLast 6: 4-1-2-3-6
- Ratings50% weight50averageOR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Epsom 1m½f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.99
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.87
High (8–10)
IV 1.14
Today: My Old Mate (draw 10) and Likeness (draw 9) get the bias; Wild Dahlia (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: George Bass · T: Jack Channon · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 22452 | 71 | 50.4 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 10 3yo · G · b | 821132 | 67 | 51.9 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 10 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: George Baker · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 50504 | 58 | 40.9 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 4 | 2 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 41236 | 75 | 57.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole · draw 5 3yo · G · bb | 75464 | 74 | 45.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: John Butler · draw 7 3yo · C · b | 433403 | 75 | 48.9 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 9 | J: Harry Davies · T: Simon Dow · draw 2 3yo · G · b | 311156 | 66 | 50.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 8 | 3 | J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 3 3yo · F · b | 104244 | 74 | 46.1 | 9/4F·3.25 SP |
| 9 | 4 | J: Jason Watson · T: Andrew Balding · draw 1 3yo · F · b | 6135 | 74 | 52.1 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 10 | 6 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 836421 | 72 | 52.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:52 Epsom?
No — the AI top pick (Wild Dahlia) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:52 Epsom?
Top finishers: 1. Likeness (IRE) (26.00), 2. My Old Mate (IRE) (8.00), 3. Fizzy Bear (IRE) (26.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:52 Epsom?
The winning time was 1m 47.27s.
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