Who won the 16:51 Salisbury on 11 September 2026?
The Quiet Gent (IRE) won the 16:51 Salisbury at SP 8.50. Ridden by Callum Rodriguez. Trained by Brian Toomey.
16:51 Salisbury
PKF Francis Clark Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 8 runners · £5,888 · Friday, 11 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stThe Quiet Gent (IRE)Callum Rodriguez·Brian Toomey15/2·8.50SP
- 2ndSergeant Pep (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Clive Cox·beaten 1 length7/2F·4.50SP
- 3rdSupreme King (IRE)Pat Cosgrave·David Evans·beaten 0.3 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
1m 18.11s
Race time recorded.
In-running (The Quiet Gent (IRE))
“Settled in midfield - shifted wide and asked for effort 2f out - edged in front 1f out - kept finding more to the line - won going away”
AI top-rated Safari Dream (score 54.2) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 11.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Baldomero
Baldomero lines up on an equal rating with Under The Twilight but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile that the clock has consistently supported, suggesting there may be more to come from this horse over six furlongs on good-to-soft ground at Salisbury. Under The Twilight represents the most obvious threat as the joint top-rated runner, while Supreme King and Rare Change, both close behind in the ratings, cannot be dismissed in what looks a competitive Class 4 affair. Confidence is tempered by the closeness of the form at the head of the market, and the selection must prove it can translate that upward trajectory into a winning performance here. Baldomero is the pick.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Safari Dream
Lewis Edmunds · Rod Millman · 6yo
Top-rated of 9
score 54.2 · +1.4 clear of next best (52.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight74strongLast 6: 1-7-5-3-1-1
- Ratings50% weight51averageOR 76
- Trainer20% weight20weakRod Millman: 2/24 winners last 14d (8%)
MarketBest price 50.00 (Matchbook) · 4th in the market of 9.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Salisbury 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–3)
IV 0.97
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.88
High (7–9)
IV 1.14
Today: Safari Dream (draw 9) and Sergeant Pep (draw 7) get the bias; Padua (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Brian Toomey · draw 6 4yo · G · bpFT P | 23852 | 79 | 44.7 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 7 6yo · G · b | 62323 | 79 | 52.7 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: David Evans · draw 8 6yo · G · b | 227156 | 81 | 47.5 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Robert Havlin · T: Michael Appleby · draw 3 8yo · G · bb | 373694 | 80 | 45.4 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 9 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 9 6yo · G · b | 175311 | 76 | 54.2 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Jack Callan · T: Richard Hughes · draw 4 4yo · G · bp | 391777 | 82 | 43.5 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Sheena West · draw 2 5yo · G · b | 81132 | 77 | 50.9 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 8 | 8 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 5 4yo · G · bt | 40493 | 77 | 48.9 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Harry Davies · T: Michael Blake · draw 1 8yo · M · b | 441218 | 82 | 46.8 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:51 Salisbury?
No — the AI top pick (Safari Dream) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:51 Salisbury?
Top finishers: 1. The Quiet Gent (IRE) (8.50), 2. Sergeant Pep (IRE) (4.50), 3. Supreme King (IRE) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:51 Salisbury?
The winning time was 1m 18.11s.
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