Who won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) on 14 September 2026?
Happier (IRE) won the 20:30 Kempton (AW) at SP 3.00. Ridden by Toby Moore. Trained by Martin Keighley.
20:30 Kempton (AW)
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6f · Flat · Class 6 · Standard / Slow · 12 runners · £3,140 · Monday, 14 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stHappier (IRE)Toby Moore·Martin Keighley2/1F·3.00SP
- 2ndRoy Lane (GB)Daniel Muscutt·James Fanshawe·beaten 2.25 lengths7/1·8.00SP
- 3rdAngel Summer (IRE)Benoit de la Sayette·Patrick Owens·beaten 1 length7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 12.29s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Happier (IRE))
“Settled close to the pace - pushed along with 2f left - hit the front and pulled away inside the final furlong to score with ease”
AI top-rated Kodicall (score 50.5) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Master Dandy
Master Dandy merits serious consideration here despite sitting four points behind the top-rated Happier, as his progressive profile suggests he is on an upward curve that the bare ratings do not fully capture. Happier leads the field on paper and must be respected, while Fort Augustus and Chasing Gold are closely matched with our selection and will press hard over this six furlongs on the Kempton all-weather. Master Dandy is the pick to outrun his rating and come out on top.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Kodicall
William Cox · J. S. Moore · 3yo
Top-rated of 12
score 50.5 · +7.1 clear of next best (43.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong14d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight68strongLast 6: 5-2-5-1
- Ratings50% weight40below averageOR 60 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight35below averageJ. S. Moore: 3/21 winners last 14d (14%)
MarketBest price 101.00 (Betano) · 4th in the market of 12.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.33).
Low (1–4)
IV 1.33
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.89
High (9–12)
IV 0.74
Today: Happier (draw 4) and Angel Summer (draw 2) get the bias; Beelzebub (draw 10) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Toby Moore(7) · T: Martin Keighley · draw 4 6yo · M · b | 961124 | 60 | 43.4 | 2/1F·3.00 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 8 3yo · G · b | 6066 | 57 | 35.2 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Patrick Owens · draw 2 3yo · F · bt | 649652 | 55 | 36.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: Daisy Hitchins · draw 1 6yo · G · chp | 870356 | 56 | 30.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Luke Morris · T: Michael Keady · draw 11 4yo · G · bb | U14237 | 58 | 36.2 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 6 | 10 | J: Jack Dace(5) · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 3 3yo · G · chb | 60785 | 50 | 30.1 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 7 | 12 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Gary & Josh Moore · draw 6 7yo · G · chb | 97046 | 41 | 28.4 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: William Cox · T: J. S. Moore · draw 5 3yo · G · b | 5251 | 60 | 50.5 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 9 | 6 | J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 10 6yo · G · b | 470126 | 56 | 40.5 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 10 | 3 | J: Christian Howarth(3) · T: Charlie Wallis · draw 12 4yo · G · bhp | 261610 | 58 | 35.3 | 50/1·51.00 SP |
| 11 | 7 | J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Simon Hodgson · draw 9 3yo · F · b | 54787 | 57 | 32.7 | 100/1·101.00 SP |
| 12 | 11 | J: Muhammet Talha Ertal(7) · T: Martin Dunne · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 8749 | 48 | 28.5 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Kodicall) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Happier (IRE) (3.00), 2. Roy Lane (GB) (8.00), 3. Angel Summer (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 20:30 Kempton (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 12.29s.
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