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RacingAlpha

13:53 Redcar

racingtv.com Restricted Novice Stakes (For Horses In Bands B, C And D) (GBB Race)

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £5,400 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 11/8·2.38
  1. 1st
    Blake's Monarch (IRE)AI top pick · 42.6
    Jason Hart·Ivan Furtado
    11/8·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Cyberspace (GB)
    Paul Mulrennan·Bryan Smart·beaten 2 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Paphos (IRE)
    Zak Wheatley·Declan Carroll·beaten 1.25 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
57.87s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Blake's Monarch (IRE))

“Set the pace from the off - clear in command throughout - drifted right inside final furlong to score with plenty in hand”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.38 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Blake's Monarch

Jason Hart · Ivan Furtado · 2yo

Top-rated of 8
score 42.6 · +1.6 clear of next best (41.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    65strong
    87d since last run (rusty)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    20weak
    Last 6: 2-6-0
  • Trainer20% weight
    18weak
    Ivan Furtado: 2/28 winners last 14d (7%)
MarketBest price 2.90 (Matchbook) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Redcar 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.02
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.98
High (7–8)
IV 0.99

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 125 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Jason Hart · T: Ivan Furtado · draw 2
2yo · G · btFT TFirst after wind op
260
8642.6
11/8·2.38
SP
25
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Bryan Smart · draw 1
2yo · G · b
5
—13.0
14/1·15.00
SP
32
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 5
2yo · C · b
5
—25.0
15/2·8.50
SP
41
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 8
2yo · G · b
1
—41.0
8/11F·1.73
SP
57
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 7
2yo · G · ch
——22.5
28/1·29.00
SP
66
J: Rowan Scott · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 4
2yo · G · b
7
—11.5
125/1·126.00
SP
73
J: Oisin McSweeney · T: Declan Carroll · draw 6
2yo · G · b
0
—16.0
80/1·81.00
SP
88
J: Mark Winn · T: Michael Dods · draw 3
2yo · F · b
00
—10.0
150/1·151.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 13:53 Redcar on 15 September 2026?

Blake's Monarch (IRE) won the 13:53 Redcar at SP 2.38. Ridden by Jason Hart. Trained by Ivan Furtado.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 13:53 Redcar?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Blake's Monarch, won the race (AI score 42.6).

What were the placings in the 13:53 Redcar?

Top finishers: 1. Blake's Monarch (IRE) (2.38), 2. Cyberspace (GB) (15.00), 3. Paphos (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 13:53 Redcar?

The winning time was 57.87s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org