Who won the 15:17 Yarmouth on 15 September 2026?
Bad Dreams (GB) won the 15:17 Yarmouth at SP 4.00. Ridden by Saffie Osborne. Trained by Richard Spencer.
15:17 Yarmouth
British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good To Soft · 6 runners · £21,600 · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stBad Dreams (GB)Saffie Osborne·Richard Spencer3/1·4.00SP
- 2ndCaturra Rock (GB)Hector Crouch·Ed Dunlop·beaten 1.25 lengths66/1·67.00SP
- 3rdI Am Royal (IRE)AI top pick · 48.9Billy Loughnane·Richard Hughes·beaten 1.25 lengths14/1·15.00SP
Race time
1m 13.66s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Bad Dreams (GB))
“Settled in third early - moving easily from two out - stayed on strongly to hit the front inside the final furlong and a half - pulled clear to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
I Am Royal
Billy Loughnane · Richard Hughes · 2yo
Top-rated of 6
score 48.9 · +18.4 clear of next best (30.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight72strongLast 6: 3-2
- Freshness10% weight70strong13d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight8weakRichard Hughes: 1/35 winners last 14d (3%)
MarketBest price 26.00 (Virgin Bet) · 3rd in the market of 6.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Yarmouth 6f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.37).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.37
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.88
High (6–7)
IV 0.70
Today: I Am Royal (draw 1) and Channel Islands (draw 3) get the bias; If You Like (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Richard Spencer · draw 4 2yo · C · b | — | — | 25.0 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 2 2yo · C · b | — | — | 18.5 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Richard Hughes · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 32 | 78 | 48.9 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 4 | 4 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 5 2yo · C · b | 3 | — | 30.5 | 8/15F·1.53 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: David Evans · draw 3 2yo · G · b | 52 | — | 27.4 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 7 2yo · C · btFT T | — | — | 30.0 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ray Dawson · T: Dylan Cunha · draw 6 2yo · C · ch | 9 | — | 13.7 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:17 Yarmouth?
No — the AI top pick (I Am Royal) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:17 Yarmouth?
Top finishers: 1. Bad Dreams (GB) (4.00), 2. Caturra Rock (GB) (67.00), 3. I Am Royal (IRE) (15.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:17 Yarmouth?
The winning time was 1m 13.66s.
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