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16:45 Yarmouth

British Ebf Premier Fillies' Handicap Stakes (gbbplus Race)

1m3½f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £8,165 · Wednesday, 16 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Alice De Clare (IRE)
    George Wood·James Fanshawe
    6/4F·2.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Shangri La (GB)AI top pick · 60.6
    Callum Shepherd·David Simcock·beaten 1.25 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ladykirk (IRE)
    David Egan·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten 1.75 lengths
    17/2·9.50
    SP
Race time
2m 24.79s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Alice De Clare (IRE))

“Settled in the pack early - made ground into contention over 2f out - shaken up to hit the front inside the final furlong - opened a two-length advantage and stayed on well to score”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Ladykirk

Ladykirk arrives narrowly behind Nowshesdancing on ratings but a progressive profile and a fitness edge over the top-rated runner make her the more appealing prospect over this twelve-furlong trip on good-to-soft ground at Yarmouth. Nowshesdancing merits respect at the head of the ratings, while Rossa Raheen, sharing the same figure, and Alice de Clare, just a couple of pounds below, will also press hard through the closing stages. Confidence is modest given the competitive nature of the field, but the upward trajectory Ladykirk brings to this Class 4 contest is the decisive factor. The selection is Ladykirk.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Shangri La

Callum Shepherd · David Simcock · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 60.6 · +1.5 clear of next best (59.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    90very strong
    David Simcock: 4/11 winners last 14d (36%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    49below average
    Last 6: 4-4-3-5-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
MarketBest price 22.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m3½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.18
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.09
High (7–9)
IV 0.72

Today: Alice de Clare (draw 3) and Caraway (draw 2) get the bias; Shangri La (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
Alice de Clare
J: George Wood · T: James Fanshawe · draw 3
3yo · F · b
21171
7859.2
6/4F·2.50
SP
25
Shangri La
J: Callum Shepherd · T: David Simcock · draw 7
3yo · F · b
44353
7360.6
14/1·15.00
SP
32
Ladykirk
J: David Egan · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 5
3yo · F · b
25528
8051.5
17/2·9.50
SP
41
Nowshesdancing
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 8
4yo · F · ch
13632
7649.0
15/2·8.50
SP
59
Caraway
J: Harry Davies · T: William Haggas · draw 2
3yo · F · b
461322
6257.3
5/1·6.00
SP
66
Princess Honey Bee
J: Tom Marquand · T: Craig Lidster · draw 4
3yo · F · b
42241
7055.2
28/1·29.00
SP
77
Willow Wood
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 6
3yo · F · br
54153
7044.5
5/1·6.00
SP
88
Clocker
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Edward Bethell · draw 1
3yo · F · b
461218
6852.6
7/1·8.00
SP
——
Rossa Raheen
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 9
3yo · F · b
026416
7349.5—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Yarmouth on 16 September 2026?

Alice De Clare (IRE) won the 16:45 Yarmouth at SP 2.50. Ridden by George Wood. Trained by James Fanshawe.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Shangri La) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:45 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Alice De Clare (IRE) (2.50), 2. Shangri La (GB) (15.00), 3. Ladykirk (IRE) (9.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 2m 24.79s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org