Who won the 14:12 Newbury on 19 September 2026?
Nabati (IRE) won the 14:12 Newbury at SP 2.75. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Charlie Appleby.
14:12 Newbury
FeatureDubai Duty Free Mill Reef Stakes (Group 2) (In Honour Of Ian Balding)
6f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £99,242 · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 7/4·2.75Race report
- 1stNabati (IRE)AI top pick · 77.6William Buick·Charlie Appleby7/4·2.75SP
- 2ndJolivette (GB)Colin Keane·Andrew Balding·beaten 0.1 lengths4/1·5.00SP
- 3rdArapaho Gold (IRE)Connor Beasley·Michael Dods·beaten 0.3 lengths5/4F·2.25SP
Race time
1m 10.61s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Nabati (IRE))
“Dwelt at the start - dropped towards the back - pushed along with 2f to run - closed into second spot approaching the last furlong - locked in a battle with the second in the final 110yds - got up in the closing strides to score”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Arapaho Gold
Arapaho Gold heads the ratings in this competitive Class 1 six-furlong contest at Newbury and, on figures alone, holds a narrow edge over the closest pursuers, but the confidence here is modest given the quality ranged against him. Jolivette, just a couple of pounds behind, represents the most immediate threat and cannot be readily dismissed, while Cut A Dash and Adaay of Scarlett are also firmly in the picture and capable of reversing the slim rating advantage on the day. The selection's edge is real but slender, and this looks a race that could be decided by small margins. On balance, Arapaho Gold is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Nabati
William Buick · Charlie Appleby · 2yo
Top-rated of 8
score 77.6 · +6.9 clear of next best (70.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100very strongCharlie Appleby: 12/24 winners last 14d (50%)
- Form20% weight80strongLast 6: 1-2-1-3
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight69strongOR 104
MarketBest price 4.33 (Boyle Sports) · 3rd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.00
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.93
High (7–8)
IV 1.07
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 5 2yo · C · ch | 1213 | 104 | 77.6 | 7/4·2.75 SP |
| 2 | 8 | J: Colin Keane · T: Andrew Balding · draw 8 2yo · F · b | 1953 | 103 | 62.2 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 2 2yo · G · b | 1111 | 110 | 70.7 | 5/4F·2.25 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: K. R. Burke · draw 4 2yo · C · ch | 1910 | 90 | 55.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Jamie Spencer · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 2yo · C · b | 1494 | 102 | 52.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Hugo Palmer · draw 6 2yo · C · b | 222257 | 105 | 57.2 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 7 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Oli Rix · draw 3 2yo · G · bv | 417676 | 95 | 58.0 | 66/1·67.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Shane Gray · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 1 2yo · C · b | 117 | 91 | 53.8 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:12 Newbury?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Nabati, won the race (AI score 77.6).
What were the placings in the 14:12 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Nabati (IRE) (2.75), 2. Jolivette (GB) (5.00), 3. Arapaho Gold (IRE) (2.25).
What was the winning time for the 14:12 Newbury?
The winning time was 1m 10.61s.
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