Who won the 16:19 Ffos Las on 21 September 2026?
Lucky Radar (IRE) won the 16:19 Ffos Las at SP 1.62. Ridden by Oisin Murphy. Trained by Rod Millman.
16:19 Ffos Las
Red Lion Llandyfaelog Novice Stakes (GBB Race)
7½f · Flat · Class 4 · Soft · 4 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 21 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stLucky Radar (IRE)Oisin Murphy·Rod Millman8/13F·1.62SP
- 2ndJust Johnny (GB)Jack Nicholls·Alan Jones·beaten 3.5 lengths33/1·34.00SP
- 3rdCircle Of Secrets (FR)Laura Coughlan·Fergal O'Brien·beaten 6 lengths28/1·29.00SP
Race time
1m 42.93s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Lucky Radar (IRE))
“Set the pace from the off - drifted towards the near rail approaching 3f out - clipped by a rival with 2f left - pushed along inside the final furlong - kept finding more and edged clear near the line”
AI top-rated Aerial Silk (score 35.0) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Aerial Silk
Saffie Osborne · David Menuisier · 3yo
Top-rated of 4
score 35.0 · +9.4 clear of next best (25.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight65strong85d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight46below averageOR 69 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight27weakLast 6: 4-3-4-7-8
- Trainer20% weight0small sample (n=9)David Menuisier: 0/9 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 101.00 (Virgin Bet) · 3rd in the market of 4.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ffos Las 7½f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–3)
IV 1.08
High (4–4)
IV 1.03
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Oisin Murphy · T: Rod Millman · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 2 | — | 25.6 | 8/13F·1.62 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Alan Jones · draw 1 5yo · G · b | 7 | — | 19.5 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Laura Coughlan(3) · T: Fergal O'Brien · draw 2 4yo · G · g | — | 16.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP | |
| 4 | 3 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: David Menuisier · draw 3 3yo · G · ch | 43478 | 69 | 35.0 | 6/4·2.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:19 Ffos Las?
No — the AI top pick (Aerial Silk) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:19 Ffos Las?
Top finishers: 1. Lucky Radar (IRE) (1.62), 2. Just Johnny (GB) (34.00), 3. Circle Of Secrets (FR) (29.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:19 Ffos Las?
The winning time was 1m 42.93s.
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