Who won the 16:52 Ffos Las on 21 September 2026?
Equion (GB) won the 16:52 Ffos Las at SP 3.50. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by Tony Carroll.
16:52 Ffos Las
Rhn Travel Handicap Stakes (Div I)
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 9 runners · £3,454 · Monday, 21 September 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 4thRace report
- 1stEquion (GB)Tom Marquand·Tony Carroll5/2F·3.50SP
- 2ndArvana Belle (IRE)Darragh Keenan·Rod Millman·beaten 0.2 lengths3/1·4.00SP
- 3rdPebble Dash (IRE)Kieran O'Neill·Bernard Llewellyn·beaten 3 lengths33/1·34.00SP
Race time
1m 47.78s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Equion (GB))
“Settled midpack early - progress from over 2f out - shared front spot inside final furlong - kicked clear there and stayed on strongly - edged clear late to score”
AI top-rated Scarfo (score 39.7) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Beaming Light
Beaming Light arrives here with a progressive profile that makes her more appealing than her rating of 57 might initially suggest, and a fitness edge over several rivals gives her an additional leg up in this ten-runner Class 6 contest over eight furlongs on heavy ground at Ffos Las. Equion is narrowly ahead on ratings at 60 and cannot be ignored, while Leia Antilles and Belltony both sit level with Beaming Light at 57 and will push her hard. That said, the progressive nature of Beaming Light's form and her readiness for this test tilt the balance in her favour, and she is selected to take this.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Scarfo
Charlie Tucker(7) · Bernard Llewellyn · 5yo
Top-rated of 10
score 39.7 · +2.4 clear of next best (37.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight57averageLast 6: 3-2-2-6-3-3
- Ratings50% weight37below averageOR 55 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight0small sample (n=6)Bernard Llewellyn: 0/6 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 67.00 (Virgin Bet) · 6th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.91
Mid (5–7)
IV 1.08
High (8–10)
IV 1.03
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Tony Carroll · draw 10 8yo · G · b | 65498 | 53 | 31.5 | 5/2F·3.50 SP |
| 2 | 9 | J: Darragh Keenan · T: Rod Millman · draw 6 3yo · F · b | 735425 | 47 | 31.9 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 3 | 7 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 9 4yo · G · bv | 446738 | 46 | 31.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 7 5yo · G · ch | 322633 | 55 | 39.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 4 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Grace Harris · draw 5 3yo · F · bh | 965530 | 55 | 33.6 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 6 | 6 | J: Isobelle Chalmers(7) · T: J. S. Moore · draw 2 3yo · F · bb | 50855 | 52 | 31.2 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 10 | J: Saffie Osborne · T: Henry Candy · draw 8 3yo · F · ch | 87456 | 40 | 37.1 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 8 | 5 | J: David Probert · T: Adrian Wintle · draw 4 5yo · G · bp | 1902 | 50 | 35.1 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Richard Price · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 74655 | 45 | 37.3 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Oisin Murphy · T: David Loughnane · draw 1 6yo · G · b | 560473 | 51 | 33.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:52 Ffos Las?
No — the AI top pick (Scarfo) finished 4.
What were the placings in the 16:52 Ffos Las?
Top finishers: 1. Equion (GB) (3.50), 2. Arvana Belle (IRE) (4.00), 3. Pebble Dash (IRE) (34.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:52 Ffos Las?
The winning time was 1m 47.78s.
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