18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

15:17 Pontefract

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Nursery Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 5 runners · £5,234 · Thursday, 24 September 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 4th
  1. 1st
    Captaincy (IRE)
    Callum Rodriguez·Clive Cox
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Harley (IRE)
    Daniel Tudhope·Edward Bethell·beaten 2 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Reflect On Glory (IRE)
    Sam James·K. R. Burke·beaten 0.1 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 16.45s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Captaincy (IRE))

“Sluggish start - settled at back of field - travelling well approaching 2f out - driven up to challenge nearing final furlong - stormed clear inside last 110yds to win comfortably”

AI top-rated The Mean Fiddler (score 60.1) finished 4th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.75 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Reflect On Glory

Reflect On Glory heads this six-furlong Pontefract contest narrowly ahead of the field on ratings and looks capable of making that edge count on good ground, where his form profile gives him every chance of taking this Class 4 prize. Captaincy is the most pressing danger at three pounds back, with The Mean Fiddler and Harley also meriting respect in what is a competitive enough heat at the top end. Medium confidence, but the rating superiority and conditions appear to suit, and Reflect On Glory is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

The Mean Fiddler

Jason Hart · John & Sean Quinn · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 60.1 · +1.3 clear of next best (58.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    89very strong
    Last 6: 2-2-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    31d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    53average
    OR 79
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    John & Sean Quinn: 3/20 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 4.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Pontefract 6f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.19).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.98
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.19
High (5–6)
IV 0.85

Today: Harley (draw 3) and Lake Muritz (draw 4) get the bias; Diamond New Bay (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Captaincy
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Clive Cox · draw 2
2yo · C · b
31
8158.8
11/8F·2.38
SP
25
Harley
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 3
2yo · G · ch
523214
7757.0
5/2·3.50
SP
31
Reflect On Glory
J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 5
2yo · C · b
315
8257.5
9/1·10.00
SP
43
The Mean Fiddler
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 1
2yo · C · ch
221
7960.1
11/4·3.75
SP
54
Lake Muritz
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
2yo · F · b
2165
7846.7
28/1·29.00
SP
——
Diamond New Bay
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: K. R. Burke · draw 6
2yo · F · ch
41
7658.7—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:17 Pontefract on 24 September 2026?

Captaincy (IRE) won the 15:17 Pontefract at SP 2.38. Ridden by Callum Rodriguez. Trained by Clive Cox.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:17 Pontefract?

No — the AI top pick (The Mean Fiddler) finished 4.

What were the placings in the 15:17 Pontefract?

Top finishers: 1. Captaincy (IRE) (2.38), 2. Harley (IRE) (3.50), 3. Reflect On Glory (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:17 Pontefract?

The winning time was 1m 16.45s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org