Who won the 15:57 Epsom on 27 September 2026?
Matins (GB) won the 15:57 Epsom at SP 1.57. Ridden by Cieren Fallon. Trained by William Haggas.
15:57 Epsom
Betfred 'Bet Builder' Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 5 runners · £10,308 · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 4/7F·1.57Race report
- 1stMatins (GB)AI top pick · 69.7Cieren Fallon·William Haggas4/7F·1.57SP
- 2ndCarnival Day (IRE)Pat Cosgrave·Jim Boyle·beaten 5.5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdEchalar (IRE)Billy Loughnane·Ian Williams·beaten .5 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
2m 10.14s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Matins (GB))
“Set the pace from the off - picked up the tempo with 4f remaining - opened up a healthy advantage over 2f out - kept finding more inside the last furlong to win comfortably”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.57 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Cogitate
Cogitate rates 3 lb below the top-rated Rajeko on these figures, but a progressive profile suggests there is more improvement to come and that narrow gap may already understate the current level of ability. Rajeko heads the dangers on ratings alone, with Carnival Day and Matins also capable of making their presence felt over this ten-furlong trip at Epsom. The case for siding with the improver rather than the established benchmark is an attractive one, even if confidence is modest. The selection is Cogitate.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Matins
Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 3yo
Top-rated of 5
score 69.7 · +18.4 clear of next best (51.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight100very strongLast 6: 1-1
- Freshness10% weight85very strong44d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 95 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight48below averageWilliam Haggas: 12/63 winners last 14d (19%)
MarketBest price 1.67 (Star Sports) · market favourite.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Epsom 1m2f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).
Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.87
High (5–5)
IV 1.14
Today: Echalar (draw 5) gets the bias; Cogitate (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 119 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 2 3yo · C · bt | 11 | 95 | 69.7 | 4/7F·1.57 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 1 5yo · G · bpFT P | 374531 | 77 | 47.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 5 4yo · G · bh | 034712 | 78 | 51.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4 5yo · G · b | 073544 | 82 | 45.2 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 00009 | 85 | 41.2 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:57 Epsom?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Matins, won the race (AI score 69.7).
What were the placings in the 15:57 Epsom?
Top finishers: 1. Matins (GB) (1.57), 2. Carnival Day (IRE) (6.50), 3. Echalar (IRE) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:57 Epsom?
The winning time was 2m 10.14s.
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