16:25 Cork

Ireland

Irish EBF Fillies Maiden (Smullen Series)

1m · Flat · Soft · 13 runners · €15,000 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Why the model rates this top

Duchessofaquitaine

W. J. Lee · P. Twomey · 2yo

Top-rated of 16

score 29.5 · +0.5 clear of next best (29.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
73strong
P. Twomey: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: first run
Freshness10% weight
50average
no recent-run data
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 4.70 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 16.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(4)
5Cross Of Stars 9Golden Ring 16Torvella Leap Of Light
Unknown(12)
1Alaraza 2Angel Invincible 3Anymore 4Captivating 6Drumbinion Lass 7Duchessofaquitaine 8Gods Love 11Lady Chancalot 13Somebody Loves Me 15Tequila Belle Knightlight State Of Clarity

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)

IV 0.96

Mid (7–11)

IV 1.07

High (12–16)

IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 65 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Best
7	DuchessofaquitainePick J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 8 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	29.5	4.7·4.70 Smarkets Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets4.7·4.70Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.3310 Bet3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Quinn Bet3/1·4.00 Star Sports3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75
9	Golden Ring J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 12 2yo · F · b	73	9-02	—	—	—	29.0	2.8·2.80 Smarkets Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets2.8·2.80Betfair Exchange2.78·2.78 SmarketsSBK13/8·2.62 SportingIndex6/4·2.50 Unibet6/4·2.50 Spreadex6/4·2.50 10 Bet11/8·2.38 Coral11/8·2.38 Bet36511/8·2.38 Dragon Bet11/8·2.38 Midnite11/8·2.38 Ladbrokes11/8·2.38 Star Sports11/8·2.38 BetTom11/8·2.38 BetWright11/8·2.38 LiveScore Bet11/8·2.38Virgin Bet11/8·2.38Quinn Bet5/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25 Betano5/4·2.25 Paddy Power5/4·2.25 Bet Victor5/4·2.25Betfair Sportsbook6/5·2.20
—	Leap Of Light J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 15 2yo · F · b	81	9-02	—	—	—	27.5	25/1·26.00 Betfair Sportsbook Compare 3 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange1.06·1.06
3	Anymore J: Gavin Ryan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 10 2yo · F · baybrown	—	9-02	—	—	—	25.0	55·55.00 Smarkets Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets55·55.00Betfair Exchange48·48.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00BetWright33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00
4	Captivating J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 6 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	25.0	50·50.00 Smarkets Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets50·50.00Betfair Exchange48·48.00 SmarketsSBK45/1·46.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Midnite33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00
13	Somebody Loves Me J: R. P. Whelan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 13 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	25.0	18·18.00 Betfair Exchange Compare 23 books ▾ Betfair Exchange18·18.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Betfred14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00Betfair Sportsbook12/1·13.00Paddy Power12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00Smarkets5·5.00
1	Alaraza J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 11 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.5	17·17.00 Smarkets Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets17·17.00Betfair Exchange16.5·16.50 SmarketsSBK15/1·16.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Spreadex11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook9/1·10.00
—	State Of Clarity J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 1 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.5	40/1·41.00 Betfair Sportsbook Compare 12 books ▾ Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Paddy Power40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00BetWright40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Matchbook5.6·5.60Unibet0.0
8	Gods Love J: Colin Keane · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 2 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.0	6.6·6.60 Smarkets Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets6.6·6.60Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Spreadex9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00BetTom4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 10 Bet10/3·4.33
15	Tequila Belle J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 5 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	21.0	300·300.00 Smarkets Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets300·300.00SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 Midnite125/1·126.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00Virgin Bet100/1·101.00Dragon Bet80/1·81.00 Star Sports80/1·81.00 BetWright80/1·81.00 SportingIndex66/1·67.00 Spreadex66/1·67.00 Betfair Exchange48·48.00
5	Cross Of Stars J: G. F. Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 7 2yo · F · b	6	9-02	—	—	—	20.5	7.8·7.80 Betfair Exchange Compare 23 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80Smarkets7.6·7.60SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Paddy Power5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Midnite9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50
16	Torvella J: Andrew Slattery · T: A. Slattery · draw 4 2yo · F · b	95	9-02	—	—	—	20.4	42·42.00 Betfair Exchange Compare 23 books ▾ Betfair Exchange42·42.00Smarkets42·42.00Bet36533/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Coral28/1·29.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00Betfair Sportsbook25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00
2	Angel Invincible J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 9 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	18.5	200/1·201.00 Coral Compare 23 books ▾ Coral200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 LiveScore Bet200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00Virgin Bet200/1·201.00Bet365200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 10 Bet150/1·151.00 Midnite150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 Unibet150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00Smarkets140·140.00SmarketsSBK125/1·126.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 Betfair Exchange21·21.00
—	Knightlight J: Robbie Colgan · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 16 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	18.0	55·55.00 Betfair Exchange Compare 21 books ▾ Betfair Exchange55·55.00 Coral50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Bet36550/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 BetWright50/1·51.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 BetMGM40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00Smarkets32·32.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00Matchbook5.9·5.90
6	Drumbinion Lass J: Adam Caffrey · T: T G McCourt · draw 14 2yo · F · b	—	9-02	—	—	—	15.0	1000·1000.00 Betfair Exchange Compare 22 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1000·1000.00 SmarketsSBK400/1·401.00 Midnite250/1·251.00 Bet365250/1·251.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00Virgin Bet200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 LiveScore Bet200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Unibet200/1·201.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00
11	Lady Chancalot J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 3 2yo · F · b	9	9-02	—	—	—	11.2	250/1·251.00 SmarketsSBK Compare 23 books ▾ SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 Midnite250/1·251.00 Bet365250/1·251.00Smarkets210·210.00Unibet200/1·201.00 Coral200/1·201.00 10 Bet200/1·201.00 Betfred200/1·201.00 Ladbrokes200/1·201.00 LiveScore Bet200/1·201.00 BetTom200/1·201.00 Quinn Bet200/1·201.00Virgin Bet200/1·201.00Betfair Sportsbook200/1·201.00Paddy Power200/1·201.00 Bet Victor200/1·201.00 Betano200/1·201.00 Star Sports150/1·151.00 Dragon Bet150/1·151.00 BetWright150/1·151.00 SportingIndex80/1·81.00 Spreadex80/1·81.00 Betfair Exchange48·48.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

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