16:55 Cork

Ireland

1m · Flat · Soft · 9 runners · €12,000 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Lady LilacDiffers from our pick

Lady Lilac is preferred here despite sitting three pounds below the top-rated Victory Tip, as her progressive profile suggests she is a filly still improving and capable of outrunning her current standing over this eight-furlong trip on soft ground at Cork. Victory Tip remains the most obvious threat given that narrow rating advantage, while Bold Style and Hellorhighwater, both on 90, will need watching if they take to the conditions. The case for Lady Lilac rests on the belief that her upward trajectory gives her the edge on the day, and she is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Daler

Colin Keane · G. M. Lyons · 4yo

Top-rated of 9

score 54.4 · +1.3 clear of next best (53.2)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
27d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
57average
Last 6: 7-1-2-3-5-3
Ratings50% weight
54average
OR 81
Trainer20% weight
30weak
G. M. Lyons: 2/17 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketBest price 8.20 (Betfair Exchange) · 4th in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
4Lady Lilac 7Oro Blanco 8Son Of Beauty 9Karrygrant
Mid-division(1)
5Daler
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Bold Style 3Hellorhighwater 6Playin Cool
Unknown(1)
2Victory Tip

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.96

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.07

High (7–9)

IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 65 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	DalerPick J: Colin Keane · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 3 4yo · G · btp	712353	9-06	81	—	—	54.4	8/1·9.06	8.2·8.20 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20Smarkets8.2·8.20Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50
9	Karrygrant J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 8 3yo · G · btp	453232	8-12	77	—	—	53.2	4/1·5.23	4.6·4.60 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.6·4.60Smarkets4.5·4.50Betfred10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Bet36510/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Star Sports10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 SmarketsSBK10/3·4.33 Bet Victor3/1·4.00 BetWright3/1·4.00 10 Bet3/1·4.00 Paddy Power3/1·4.00 BetTom3/1·4.00 Betano3/1·4.00 Dragon Bet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 Midnite3/1·4.00Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75
7	Oro Blanco J: Scott McCullagh · T: Mrs J. Harrington · draw 9 3yo · G · gtFT T	311843	9-05	84	—	—	52.8	5/1·6.04	5.7·5.70 Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70Smarkets5.5·5.50SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook4/1·5.00Bet Victor4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00
1	Bold Style J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: A. Slattery · draw 1 5yo · G · b	00635	10-00	89	—	—	50.2	40/1·41.09	120·120.00 Matchbook · +192% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Matchbook120·120.00Smarkets48·48.00Betfair Exchange48·48.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Bet36540/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 SmarketsSBK40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Paddy Power33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00Unibet33/1·34.00
3	Hellorhighwater J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 7 4yo · G · b	22110	9-11	86	—	—	49.6	15/2·8.46	9.8·9.80 Smarkets · +16% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets9.8·9.80Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Paddy Power15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Midnite13/2·7.50 BetTom6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfred6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50
2	Victory Tip J: W. J. Lee · T: Henry de Bromhead · draw 2 3yo · G · b	1920	9-12	91	—	—	46.8	12/1·13.29	11.5·11.50 Matchbook · -13% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Matchbook11.5·11.50Bet36510/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 BetWright9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Paddy Power9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50
4	Lady Lilac J: G. F. Carroll · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 5 4yo · F · bb	355730	9-10	85	—	—	46.8	10/1·10.88	11·11.00 Smarkets Compare 23 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 Spreadex8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 SportingIndex8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Coral8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.5010 Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00
8	Son Of Beauty J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Stephen Thorne · draw 4 3yo · G · b	316533	9-02	81	—	—	44.0	25/1·25.38	24·24.00 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Betfair Exchange24·24.00Smarkets24·24.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00BetWright20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Betano18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Bet Victor18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00
6	Playin Cool J: Luke McAteer · T: John James Feane · draw 6 4yo · G · b	802305	9-06	81	—	—	41.8	9/2·5.44	5.8·5.80 Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair Compare 24 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80Smarkets5.8·5.80SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50Matchbook5·5.00Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50BetWright7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Bet3657/2·4.50 Paddy Power7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 Unibet3/1·4.00 10 Bet11/4·3.75

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 23–24 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org