17:25 Cork

Ireland

Fitzgerald's Woodlands House Hotel Handicap

1m · Flat · Soft · 18 runners · €6,000 · Tuesday, 29 September 2026

This race has been abandoned.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: CisternaDiffers from our pick

Cisterna rates a pound behind La Tulipe Noire on paper, but a progressive profile and clock that backs up the form make a compelling case for preferring her in this competitive eight-furlong contest on soft ground at Cork. La Tulipe Noire is the obvious danger as the top-rated runner in an 18-strong field, while Monocle Rocket and Medieval Night, both rated alongside Cisterna, will also need watching in what amounts to a closely matched heat at the top of the weights. Confidence is modest given the depth of the opposition, but the evidence of improvement points Cisterna's way. The selection is Cisterna.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Concaire

Scott McCullagh · Richard John O'Brien · 3yo

Top-rated of 21

score 47.0 · +4.3 clear of next best (42.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
73small sample (n=7)
Richard John O'Brien: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
70strong
13d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
37below average
OR 55
Form20% weight
36below average
Last 6: 8-6-2-7-4-5

MarketBest price 15.50 (Smarkets) · 9th in the market of 21.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
7Grey Intentions 9Tickle The Cat 13Saith Seren 19Watercraft
Mid-division(5)
2Cisterna 10Micasso 16Rampage 17Arizona Star Cause I Like You
Hold-up / closers(7)
1Medieval Night 3Marambo 14Strikepoint 18Ramair 20La Tulipe Noire Jazz Dreamers Blue Orquidea
Unknown(5)
5Concaire 6Racing Royalty 8Monocle Rocket 12Movin And Groovin 15Lily's Magic

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–7)

IV 0.96

Mid (8–14)

IV 1.07

High (15–21)

IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 65 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	ConcairePick J: Scott McCullagh · T: Richard John O'Brien · draw 11 3yo · G · bh	862745	9-09	55	—	—	47.0	18/1·18.57	15.5·15.50 Smarkets · -16% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets15.5·15.50SmarketsSBK13/1·14.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00
12	Movin And Groovin J: G. F. Carroll · T: David Marnane · draw 21 4yo · F · b	75137	9-03	45	—	—	42.7	14/1·15.20	10·10.00 Smarkets · -34% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets10·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Star Sports17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50Bet36517/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Paddy Power8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Coral8/1·9.00 BetTom8/1·9.00 10 Bet8/1·9.00 Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Quinn Bet8/1·9.00 Betfred8/1·9.00 Ladbrokes8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook15/2·8.50Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50
1	Medieval Night J: J M Sheridan · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 1 4yo · G · btb	476253	10-00	56	—	—	41.3	10/1·10.97	8.8·8.80 Smarkets · -20% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets8.8·8.80SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Bet3656/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Paddy Power11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50Coral11/2·6.50
2	Cisterna J: Sam Coen(5) · T: A. Slattery · draw 19 3yo · G · b	558020	9-12	58	—	—	37.2	14/1·14.35	11·11.00 Smarkets · -23% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 BetWright15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50Virgin Bet15/2·8.50LiveScore Bet15/2·8.50Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00
—	Blue Orquidea J: Chris Hayes · T: Denis Gerard Hogan · draw 16 3yo · F · btFT T	5060	9-09	55	—	—	36.6	80/1·86.11	66/1·67.00 Midnite · -22% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Midnite66/1·67.00 Paddy Power66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Dragon Bet60/1·61.00 BetWright60/1·61.00Hollywood Bets50/1·51.00Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Star Sports50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports50/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 BetMGM50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 William Hill40/1·41.00Smarkets29·29.00Betfair Exchange29·29.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00Matchbook6·6.00
—	Jazz Dreamers J: · T: Seamus Fahey · draw 3 8yo · G · bb	980070	8-12	34	—	—	35.8	50/1·48.96	40/1·41.00 Paddy Power · -16% vs fair Compare 23 books ▾ Paddy Power40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00BetMGM25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00Smarkets20·20.00Betfair Exchange19·19.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00Matchbook6.4·6.40
7	Grey Intentions J: Declan McDonogh · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 15 3yo · F · gtb	70600	9-06	52	—	—	35.3	50/1·57.41	46·46.00 Smarkets · -20% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets46·46.00BetTom33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Star Sports33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.00Betano33/1·34.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00
—	Cause I Like You J: W. J. Lee · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 18 3yo · F · btp	215202	9-03	49	—	—	34.3	11/1·11.82	6/1·7.00 William Hill · -41% vs fair Compare 19 books ▾ William Hill6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Midnite11/2·6.50 BetMGM11/2·6.50Hollywood Bets11/2·6.50Star Sports11/2·6.50Matchbook3.6·3.60
18	Ramair J: Shay Wallace(7) · T: Richard Anthony Foley · draw 20 3yo · G · b	035690	8-08	40	—	—	32.9	200/1·212.74	140·140.00 Smarkets · -34% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets140·140.00BetWright125/1·126.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 BetTom125/1·126.00 Betfred125/1·126.00 10 Bet125/1·126.00 Coral125/1·126.00 Ladbrokes125/1·126.00 Dragon Bet125/1·126.00 Paddy Power125/1·126.00Betfair Sportsbook125/1·126.00Virgin Bet125/1·126.00Betano125/1·126.00 LiveScore Bet125/1·126.00 Quinn Bet125/1·126.00 Bet Victor125/1·126.00 Boyle Sports125/1·126.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00
8	Monocle Rocket J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 12 3yo · G · bp	05020	9-05	51	—	—	32.0	28/1·28.70	26·26.00 Smarkets · -9% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets26·26.00SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Star Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook14/1·15.00
13	Saith Seren J: Gavin Ryan · T: Andrew Lee · draw 17 5yo · M · b	55536	9-02	44	—	—	31.6	15/2·8.44	8.2·8.20 Smarkets · -3% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets8.2·8.20SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Unibet5/1·6.00 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Paddy Power4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00Betfair Sportsbook7/2·4.50
6	Racing Royalty J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Gillian Scott · draw 2 7yo · G · bb	99757	9-09	51	—	—	30.4	33/1·32.08	29·29.00 Smarkets · -10% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets29·29.00SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.0010 Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Paddy Power16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00
16	Rampage J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 5 7yo · G · b	078526	8-13	41	—	—	30.2	14/1·14.35	11·11.00 Smarkets · -23% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets11·11.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Unibet8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 Star Sports8/1·9.00 BetWright15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 BetTom15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Paddy Power15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Betfred7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00
10	Micasso J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Donal Kinsella · draw 4 4yo · G · chtp	10040	9-04	46	—	—	29.1	12/1·13.51	8.8·8.80 Smarkets · -35% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets8.8·8.80Bet3657/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00Betfred7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 Star Sports7/1·8.00Betfair Sportsbook7/1·8.00Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite13/2·7.50
20	La Tulipe Noire J: Jessica O'Gorman(7) · T: Aengus King · draw 13 6yo · M · bp	095870	10-02	58	—	—	28.4	33/1·35.46	20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes · -41% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Paddy Power20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Smarkets21·21.0010 Bet20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Star Sports18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00
9	Tickle The Cat J: Colin Keane · T: Kevin Thomas Coleman · draw 6 3yo · F · b	08070	9-05	51	—	—	28.1	18/1·18.57	17.5·17.50 Smarkets · -6% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets17.5·17.50SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00Betfair Sportsbook10/1·11.00Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00BetTom10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00
19	Watercraft J: W. J. Lee · T: J P Flavin · draw 7 3yo · C · b	8660	9-10	56	—	—	27.9	100/1·113.12	110·110.00 Smarkets · -3% vs fair Compare 22 books ▾ Smarkets110·110.00Matchbook100·100.00Dragon Bet66/1·67.00 Ladbrokes66/1·67.00 Bet Victor66/1·67.00 Betano66/1·67.00 Quinn Bet66/1·67.00 BetTom66/1·67.00 Boyle Sports66/1·67.00 Betfred66/1·67.00 Paddy Power66/1·67.00 Bet36566/1·67.00 10 Bet66/1·67.00 Midnite66/1·67.00 BetWright66/1·67.00Betfair Sportsbook66/1·67.00Star Sports66/1·67.00 Coral66/1·67.00 LiveScore Bet50/1·51.00Virgin Bet50/1·51.00SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00
3	Marambo J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Chris Timmons · draw 10 4yo · G · bp	45000	9-11	53	—	—	27.6	66/1·69.22	55·55.00 Smarkets · -20% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets55·55.00Bet36550/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 Paddy Power40/1·41.00Betfair Sportsbook40/1·41.00Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00
14	Strikepoint J: Rory Cleary · T: John James Feane · draw 9 3yo · G · b	7090	9-02	48	—	—	25.2	18/1·18.57	19.5·19.50 Smarkets · +5% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets19.5·19.50SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Star Sports11/1·12.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Paddy Power10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00Betfair Sportsbook17/2·9.50Boyle Sports8/1·9.00
17	Arizona Star J: Wesley Joyce · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 14 3yo · F · br	063850	8-08	40	—	—	24.2	12/1·12.66	9.8·9.80 Smarkets · -23% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ Smarkets9.8·9.80SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Unibet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50Coral13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00BetWright6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50
15	Lily's Magic J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: M K Flannery · draw 8 4yo · G · btFT T	0007	9-00	42	—	—	19.7	66/1·69.22	90/1·91.00 SmarketsSBK · +32% vs fair Compare 21 books ▾ SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00Smarkets65·65.00Bet36550/1·51.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 Paddy Power33/1·34.00Betfair Sportsbook33/1·34.0010 Bet33/1·34.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–23 bookmakers per horse with the 69% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org