Who won the 14:50 Southwell on 1 October 2026?
Paper Mill (GB) won the 14:50 Southwell at SP 2.50. Ridden by Charlie Hammond. Trained by Stuart Edmunds.
14:50 Southwell
Paul Ferguson's Jumpers To Follow Handicap Steeple Chase (gbb Race)
3m½f · Chase · Class 4 · Good · 4 runners · £4,700 · Thursday, 1 October 2026
Result
AI top pick wonat SP 6/4F·2.50Race report
- 1stPaper Mill (GB)AI top pick · 78.0Charlie Hammond·Stuart Edmunds6/4F·2.50SP
- 2ndLaw Of Supply (IRE)Ciaran Gethings·Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls·beaten 6 lengths9/2·5.50SP
- 3rdNo More No (IRE)David Bass·Lawney Hill·beaten 6.5 lengths7/4·2.75SP
Race time
6m 14.27s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Paper Mill (GB))
“Prompted for effort at the 14th - sent on after 2 out - kept finding to pull clear and win”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Paper Mill
Paper Mill is our selection, and he looks the right one to side with in this four-runner staying contest at Southwell. He sits only three pounds behind Law of Supply on our figures, a gap his fitness edge and progressive profile should comfortably bridge. Law of Supply is the main danger as the top-rated runner, while Alright Dai and No More No, rated 106 and 98, have plenty to find on the numbers. Over this extended trip, Paper Mill is the one to be with.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Paper Mill
Charlie Hammond · Stuart Edmunds · 10yo
Top-rated of 4
score 78.0 · +15.9 clear of next best (62.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Stuart Edmunds: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight100very strong27d since last run (race-fit window)
- Ratings50% weight75strongOR 112 — highest combined rating in the field
- Form20% weight53averageLast 6: 3-1-P-2-4
MarketBest price 4.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 4.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Charlie Hammond · T: Stuart Edmunds · draw 0 10yo · G · bvFT V | 31P24 | 112 | 78.0 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Ciaran Gethings · T: Kim Bailey & Mat Nicholls · draw 0 8yo · G · brht | P4F2 | 112 | 49.9 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: David Bass · T: Lawney Hill · draw 0 7yo · G · grtvFirst after wind op | 7116 | 101 | 62.1 | 7/4·2.75 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Conor O'Farrell · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 0 8yo · G · chp | U1133 | 105 | 53.4 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:50 Southwell?
Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Paper Mill, won the race (AI score 78.0).
What were the placings in the 14:50 Southwell?
Top finishers: 1. Paper Mill (GB) (2.50), 2. Law Of Supply (IRE) (5.50), 3. No More No (IRE) (2.75).
What was the winning time for the 14:50 Southwell?
The winning time was 6m 14.27s.
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