13:30 Pontefract

British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 5 runners · £7,020 · Monday, 5 October 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 5-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Narrjoo

No. 1 · score 32.0 · +8.0 clear of next best · best 4/11·1.36

Drawn 2, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Beloved Country

8·8.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair (consensus 6.73)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Narrjoo

Daniel Tudhope · Simon & Ed Crisford · 2yo

Top-rated of 5

score 32.0 · +8.0 clear of next best (24.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
93very strong
Last 6: 2-1
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
54d since last run (fresh)
Trainer20% weight
25weak
Simon & Ed Crisford: 2/20 winners last 14d (10%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 1.36 (Bet365) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
1Narrjoo
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(1)
5Too Darn Regal
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(3)
2Beloved Country 3Canvas Power 4Magwitch

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Pontefract 1m

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.29).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.29

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.85

High (5–5)

IV 0.83

Today: Narrjoo (draw 2) and Too Darn Regal (draw 1) get the bias; Magwitch (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 69 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	NarrjooPick J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 2 2yo · C · bDOnly runner	21	9-11	—	—	—	32.0	40/85·1.46	4/11·1.36 Bet365 · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet3654/11·1.36Smarkets1.34·1.34Matchbook1.33·1.33Betfair Exchange1.33·1.33 Unibet3/10·1.30 Betano3/10·1.30 Dragon Bet3/10·1.30 BetWright3/10·1.30 Coral3/10·1.30 Ladbrokes3/10·1.30 Star Sports3/10·1.30 SportingIndex3/10·1.30 Spreadex3/10·1.30 Bet Victor3/10·1.30 Betfred3/10·1.30Hollywood Bets3/10·1.30Midnite2/7·1.29 William Hill2/7·1.29 SmarketsSBK2/7·1.29 BetMGM2/7·1.29 7Bet2/7·1.29 LiveScore Bet2/7·1.29Virgin Bet2/7·1.29Boyle Sports2/7·1.29Betfair Sportsbook2/7·1.29Paddy Power2/7·1.29 Quinn Bet2/7·1.29 BetTom2/7·1.29
3	Canvas Power J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 2yo · G · b	—	9-04	—	—	—	24.0	40/1·45.98	50/1·51.00 Betano · +11% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betano50/1·51.00 Paddy Power50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00Betfair Sportsbook50/1·51.00Matchbook46·46.00Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 7Bet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00William Hill40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 BetMGM33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange32·32.00Smarkets32·32.00SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00Hollywood Bets28/1·29.00
4	Magwitch J: Kevin Stott · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5 2yo · C · b	09	9-04	—	—	—	20.3	25/1·25.79	33/1·34.00 Bet365 · +32% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet36533/1·34.00Hollywood Bets33/1·34.00Matchbook29·29.00Smarkets28·28.00Betfair Exchange27·27.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 BetMGM20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Betfair Sportsbook18/1·19.00Paddy Power18/1·19.00
2	Beloved Country J: Jason Hart · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 3 2yo · C · bClass dropOnly runner	77	9-04	—	—	—	16.0	11/2·6.73	8·8.00 Matchbook · +19% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8·8.00Smarkets8·8.00Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Paddy Power6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook11/2·6.50LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00BetWright5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50Hollywood Bets9/2·5.50Betfred9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 BetMGM4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Bet3657/2·4.50
5	Too Darn Regal J: George Wood · T: Harry Eustace · draw 1 2yo · C · bOnly runner	8	9-04	—	—	—	12.5	17/2·9.53	9.6·9.60 Matchbook Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook9.6·9.60Smarkets9.4·9.40Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Bet3658/1·9.00 7Bet15/2·8.50 Boyle Sports15/2·8.50Hollywood Bets15/2·8.50Betfred15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Midnite15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 Unibet15/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 BetWright7/1·8.00 Paddy Power7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00BetTom7/1·8.00 BetMGM7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 Betano13/2·7.50Betfair Sportsbook13/2·7.50Bet Victor13/2·7.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 12% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)?

The British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) is off at 13:30 on 5 October 2026 at Pontefract (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 13:30 Pontefract?

1m, Class 3, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 13:30 Pontefract?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 13:30 Pontefract?

The AI top-rated runner is Narrjoo (score 32.0, best price 1.36). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 13:30 Pontefract?

The market favourite is Narrjoo at a best price of 1.36.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org