17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)

Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,400 · Monday, 5 October 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Iron Dome

No. 3 · score 27.5 · best 13/8·2.63

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Iron Dome

Hector Crouch · Clive Cox · 3yo

Top-rated of 6

score 27.5 · level with next best (27.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
20d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
45below average
Last 6: 4-4
Trainer20% weight
43below average
Clive Cox: 5/30 winners last 14d (17%)
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 2.63 (Hollywood Bets) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(2)
1Extended Credit 3Iron Dome
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(4)
2Flag of Nations 4Sir Chops 5Nefertari 6Starship Lily

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 6f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.24).

Low (1–2)

IV 1.24

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.91

High (5–6)

IV 0.83

Today: Starship Lily (draw 1) and Extended Credit (draw 2) get the bias; Iron Dome (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 624 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Iron DomePick J: Hector Crouch · T: Clive Cox · draw 5 · combo 7/27 (26%) 3yo · G · bhFT HOnly runner	44	9-07	—	—	—	27.5	2/1·3.01	13/8·2.63 Hollywood Bets · -13% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63Smarkets2.56·2.56Bet3656/4·2.50Matchbook2.46·2.46Betfair Exchange2.42·2.42 SmarketsSBK7/5·2.40 Betano11/8·2.38 Boyle Sports11/8·2.38 Dragon Bet11/8·2.38 Midnite11/8·2.38 Quinn Bet11/8·2.38 Star Sports11/8·2.38 William Hill11/8·2.38 SportingIndex11/8·2.38 7Bet11/8·2.38 Bet Victor11/8·2.38 Paddy Power11/8·2.38 Ladbrokes11/8·2.38 Spreadex11/8·2.38 BetTom11/8·2.38 BetMGM11/8·2.38Betfair Sportsbook11/8·2.38Coral11/8·2.37 BetWright11/8·2.37 LiveScore Bet5/4·2.25Virgin Bet5/4·2.25Unibet5/4·2.25 Betfred5/4·2.25
6	Starship Lily J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 1 · combo 7/60 (12%) 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	4	9-02	—	—	—	27.5	11/4·3.65	5.3·5.30 Betfair Exchange · +45% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.3·5.30Matchbook5.2·5.20Smarkets5.2·5.20SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Bet3655/2·3.50 Midnite2/1·3.00 7Bet19/10·2.90 Ladbrokes15/8·2.88 Bet Victor15/8·2.88 Betano15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88 Star Sports15/8·2.88 Unibet15/8·2.88 Quinn Bet15/8·2.88 Paddy Power15/8·2.88 Boyle Sports15/8·2.88 BetTom15/8·2.88 Spreadex15/8·2.88 William Hill15/8·2.88 Coral15/8·2.87 Betfred7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75Betfair Sportsbook7/4·2.75BetWright7/4·2.75 Dragon Bet7/4·2.75Hollywood Bets13/8·2.63
1	Extended Credit J: Rob Hornby · T: Charles Hills · draw 2 · combo 2/17 (12%) 3yo · C · b	56	9-07	—	—	—	17.7	11/4·3.65	3.1·3.10 Smarkets · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Smarkets3.1·3.10Midnite2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00Betfair Sportsbook2/1·3.00Bet3652/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 Paddy Power2/1·3.00Matchbook2.92·2.92Betfair Exchange2.92·2.92 7Bet19/10·2.90 Unibet15/8·2.88 SmarketsSBK15/8·2.88 Star Sports15/8·2.88 BetTom15/8·2.88 BetMGM15/8·2.88 LiveScore Bet15/8·2.88Virgin Bet15/8·2.88SportingIndex15/8·2.88 Spreadex15/8·2.88 Ladbrokes15/8·2.88 Betfred15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.87 Coral15/8·2.87 BetWright15/8·2.87Hollywood Bets7/4·2.75
2	Flag of Nations J: Callum Shepherd · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 6 3yo · G · bOnly pairing	8	9-07	—	—	—	16.5	14/1·15.20	12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports · -14% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Paddy Power12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00Matchbook13·13.00Spreadex12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 7Bet11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00Smarkets12·12.00Bet36511/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 BetMGM11/1·12.00Betfair Sportsbook11/1·12.00Coral11/1·12.00Hollywood Bets11/1·12.00
4	Sir Chops J: Luke Catton(3) · T: Steph Hollinshead · draw 4 · combo 1/6 (17%) 3yo · G · bOnly ride	9	9-07	—	—	—	11.2	150/1·127.93	230·230.00 Matchbook · +80% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook230·230.00Smarkets200·200.00SmarketsSBK150/1·151.00 Bet365150/1·151.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 7Bet100/1·101.00 BetMGM100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 SportingIndex100/1·101.00Betfair Sportsbook100/1·101.00Paddy Power100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Midnite100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00 LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00Hollywood Bets80/1·81.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00Betfair Exchange44·44.00
5	Nefertari J: Alec Voikhansky · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 3 · combo 0/6 (0%) 3yo · F · bhOnly pairing	9	9-02	—	—	—	7.7	20/1·21.53	30·30.00 Matchbook · +39% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook30·30.00Smarkets26·26.00Betfair Exchange26·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Bet36520/1·21.00Hollywood Bets16/1·17.00BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 7Bet16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Betfair Sportsbook16/1·17.00Paddy Power16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 BetMGM16/1·17.00 Betfred14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Download The Raceday Ready App Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 17:30 on 5 October 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Iron Dome (score 27.5, best price 2.63). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:30 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is Iron Dome at a best price of 2.63.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org