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14:25 Yarmouth

SPP Digital "Confined" EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Run More Than Three Times) (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £6,281 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 48.0 · +13.5 clear of next best · best 11/2·6.60
Best value vs consensus
12·12.00 Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair (consensus 11.35)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Jemima

Harry Davies · James Owen · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 48.0 · +13.5 clear of next best (34.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    9d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 76 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    48below average
    Last 6: 7-6-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    30weak
    James Owen: 5/41 winners last 14d (12%)
MarketBest price 6.60 (Smarkets) · 3rd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.08
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–5)
IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 2
2yo · F · bClass drop
762
7648.06/1·6.816.6·6.60
Smarkets · -3% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
5
2yo · F · ch
4
—34.511/10·2.081.96·1.96
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
2
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——24.04/1·4.914.5·4.50
Matchbook · -8% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
4
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 4
2yo · F · bhFT H
——22.511/1·12.4813·13.00
Matchbook · +4% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾
1
J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
——17.010/1·11.3512·12.00
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
Compare 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the SPP Digital "Confined" EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Run More Than Three Times) (GBB Race)?

The SPP Digital "Confined" EBF Maiden Fillies' Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Run More Than Three Times) (GBB Race) is off at 14:25 on 5 October 2026 at Yarmouth (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:25 Yarmouth?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:25 Yarmouth?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:25 Yarmouth?

The AI top-rated runner is Lady Jemima (score 48.0, best price 6.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:25 Yarmouth?

The market favourite is Zhuri at a best price of 1.96. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Lady Jemima.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org