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15:55 Killarney

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

1m3f · Flat · Yielding To Soft · 8 runners · €9,000 · Monday, 5 October 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 4 · score 57.1 · +2.9 clear of next best · best 5/2·3.55
Best value vs consensus
17.5·17.50 Smarkets · +10% vs fair (consensus 15.98)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 27 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Shanala

Ben Coen · J. P. Murtagh · 3yo

Top-rated of 8
score 57.1 · +2.9 clear of next best (54.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    19d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 5-4-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 82 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    J. P. Murtagh: 6/40 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 3.55 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 8.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Killarney 1m3f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 1.22
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.21
High (7–8)
IV 0.56

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 27 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
J: Ben Coen · T: J. P. Murtagh · draw 5
3yo · F · b
5432
8257.110/3·4.303.55·3.55
Betfair Exchange · -17% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
3
J: G. F. Carroll · T: G. M. Lyons · draw 8
3yo · F · bOnly runner
302
7654.118/1·18.4419·19.00
Smarkets · +3% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
2
3yo · F · ghOnly pairing
054
7048.833/1·31.9660·60.00
Matchbook · +88% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
1
J: W. J. Lee · T: P. Twomey · draw 7
3yo · F · bOnly runner
——30.514/1·15.9817.5·17.50
Smarkets · +10% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
8
J: W. M. Lordan · T: Aidan O'Brien · draw 1
3yo · F · ch
23
—28.7EVS·2.051.74·1.74
Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
6
3yo · F · chOnly pairing
427
—19.218/1·18.4436·36.00
Matchbook · +95% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
5
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 3
3yo · F · b
5
—16.518/1·18.4442·42.00
Matchbook · +128% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾
7
3yo · F · chOnly pairing
6
—14.040/1·41.8080·80.00
Matchbook · +91% vs fair
Compare 27 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 27 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden is off at 15:55 on 5 October 2026 at Killarney (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:55 Killarney?

1m3f, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:55 Killarney?

Going is reported as Yielding To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:55 Killarney?

The AI top-rated runner is Shanala (score 57.1, best price 3.55). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:55 Killarney?

The market favourite is Together Now at a best price of 1.74. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Shanala.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org