16:26 Wolverhampton (AW)

Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)

1m½f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 6 runners · £5,234 · Monday, 5 October 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Solar Swing

No. 3 · score 55.7 · +1.8 clear of next best · best 11/10·2.10

Best value vs consensus

Clive The Writer

32·32.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair (consensus 30.97)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: WilburDiffers from our pick

Wilbur heads our ratings on 92, six pounds clear of Solar Swing on 86, and that gap is the heart of the case in a six-runner Class 4 over eight furlongs at Wolverhampton. Solar Swing is the chief danger, with Lion of God two pounds further back on 84 and Clive The Writer on 81 also needing to be respected if the pace falls kindly for them. Out of This World and Bassrah look to have more to find on our figures. Confidence is low, but Wilbur has the strongest profile on the page and is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Solar Swing

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 6

score 55.7 · +1.8 clear of next best (54.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
67strong
Last 6: 4-2
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 79
Trainer20% weight
30weak
George Boughey: 3/25 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketBest price 2.10 (Bet Victor) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Lion of God 5Out of This World
Prominent(2)
4Clive The Writer 6Bassrah
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(0)—
Unknown(2)
2Wilbur 3Solar Swing

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Wolverhampton (AW) 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.96

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.12

High (5–6)

IV 0.94

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 771 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
3	Solar SwingPick J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 4 2yo · C · bClass drop	42	9-04	79	—	—	55.7	6/4·2.48	11/10·2.10 Bet Victor · -15% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Bet Victor11/10·2.10 BetTom11/10·2.10 Ladbrokes11/10·2.10Betfair Sportsbook11/10·2.10Paddy Power11/10·2.10 7Bet11/10·2.10 Coral11/10·2.10Hollywood Bets11/10·2.10Boyle Sports11/10·2.10 Quinn Bet11/10·2.10 Betfred11/10·2.10 Star Sports11/10·2.10 Bet36511/10·2.10 Betano11/10·2.10 Betfair Exchange2.06·2.06Matchbook2.06·2.06Smarkets2.06·2.06LiveScore BetEvens·2.00Virgin BetEvens·2.00Dragon Bet1/1·2.00 Midnite1/1·2.00 SportingIndex1/1·2.00 UnibetEvens·2.00 BetMGMevn·2.00 Spreadex1/1·2.00 BetWright1/1·2.00 SmarketsSBK1/1·2.00 William Hill10/11·1.91
6	Bassrah J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 5 2yo · F · bClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	6245	9-01	76	—	—	54.0	6/1·7.15	11·11.00 Matchbook · +54% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook11·11.00Betfair Exchange10.5·10.50Smarkets10·10.00SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Paddy Power5/1·6.00 BetMGM5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00Hollywood Bets5/1·6.007Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Betfair Sportsbook9/2·5.50Betfred9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50
5	Out of This World J: David Probert · T: James Tate · draw 2 2yo · C · bh	142	9-02	77	—	—	53.8	10/1·11.32	10.5·10.50 Matchbook · -7% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook10.5·10.50Smarkets10.5·10.50SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange10·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Star Sports17/2·9.50Hollywood Bets17/2·9.50Spreadex17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 Paddy Power17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 7Bet8/1·9.00 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00Betfair Sportsbook8/1·9.00BetMGM8/1·9.00 BetWright8/1·9.00 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00Dragon Bet8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00
1	Lion of God J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 1 2yo · C · bClass drop	671	9-09	84	—	—	51.2	8/1·8.93	8·8.00 Matchbook · -10% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook8·8.00Smarkets7.8·7.80Betfair Exchange7.6·7.60 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 BetMGM13/2·7.50 7Bet13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Paddy Power13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Betfair Sportsbook6/1·7.00Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00Hollywood Bets6/1·7.00Midnite11/2·6.50
2	Wilbur J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Harry Eustace · draw 3 2yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner	432	9-04	79	—	—	48.1	7/2·4.47	4.2·4.20 Matchbook · -6% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook4.2·4.20Betfair Exchange4.1·4.10Smarkets4.1·4.10SmarketsSBK3/1·4.00 Betfred11/4·3.75 Dragon Bet11/4·3.75 Quinn Bet11/4·3.75 Bet36511/4·3.75 Midnite11/4·3.75 Coral11/4·3.75 SportingIndex11/4·3.75 William Hill11/4·3.75Betfair Sportsbook11/4·3.75Paddy Power11/4·3.75 BetWright11/4·3.75 Ladbrokes11/4·3.75 7Bet11/4·3.75 BetTom11/4·3.75 Spreadex11/4·3.75 Star Sports11/4·3.75 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 BetMGM5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50Hollywood Bets5/2·3.50Unibet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50Bet Victor5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50
4	Clive The Writer J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 6 2yo · G · bOnly ride	7166	9-03	78	—	—	44.6	28/1·30.97	32·32.00 Matchbook · +3% vs fair Compare 28 books ▾ Matchbook32·32.00Smarkets32·32.00SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00 Betfair Exchange29·29.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 BetMGM25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00Hollywood Bets25/1·26.00Paddy Power25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 7Bet25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00Betfair Sportsbook22/1·23.00Midnite22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)?

The Tips For Every Race At raceday-ready.com Nursery Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race) is off at 16:26 on 5 October 2026 at Wolverhampton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:26 Wolverhampton (AW)?

1m½f, Class 4, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:26 Wolverhampton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:26 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Solar Swing (score 55.7, best price 2.10). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:26 Wolverhampton (AW)?

The market favourite is Solar Swing at a best price of 2.10.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org