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1m4f · Flat · Class 5 · Standard / Slow · 6 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 5th
  1. 1st
    That Darn Cantor (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Ed Dunlop
    9/2·5.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Time To Sparkle (GB)
    Harry Vigors·James Keane·beaten .5 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Floating Market (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten 1.75 lengths
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
Race time
2m 34.38s

Race time recorded.

In-running (That Darn Cantor (GB))

“Settled in rear division in fifth - shaken up over 3f out - gained ground over 1f out and renewed effort inside final furlong - edged ahead near finish to win”

AI top-rated Mr Bollinger (score 52.8) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Time To Sparkle

Time To Sparkle looks the one to side with in this modest Kempton contest over twelve furlongs, as his progressive profile and fitness edge give him the upside over a rival who is only narrowly ahead on our figures. Pierpoint is the top-rated runner at 78 and merits respect, just three pounds better than our pick, but he does not offer the same upward trajectory. Takeitorleaveit is only a pound behind Time To Sparkle and Mr Bollinger is not out of it either, so this is far from a penalty-kick. Even so, Time To Sparkle is the preferred option in a six-runner field, and he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Mr Bollinger

Hector Crouch · Michael Bell · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 52.8 · +3.4 clear of next best (49.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    37d since last run (fresh)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63average
    Michael Bell: 3/12 winners last 14d (25%)
  • Form20% weight
    47below average
    Last 6: 4-8-4-1-2-P
  • Ratings50% weight
    45below average
    OR 67
MarketBest price 9.00 (Hollywood Bets) · 5th in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.99
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.21
High (5–6)
IV 0.83

Today: That Darn Cantor (draw 4) and Time To Sparkle (draw 3) get the bias; Floating Market (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ed Dunlop · draw 4
3yo · G · b
564342
6649.3
9/2·5.50
SP
22
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: James Keane · draw 3
3yo · F · b
532311
6847.6
7/2·4.50
SP
31
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · F · b
5516
7049.2
13/8F·2.62
SP
46
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 2
3yo · G · bvFT V
128223
6546.0
9/2·5.50
SP
54
J: Hector Crouch · T: Michael Bell · draw 1
3yo · G · ch
48412P
6752.8
7/1·8.00
SP
63
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hannon · draw 6
3yo · F · br
74096
6838.7
25/1·26.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:15 Kempton (AW) on 12 October 2026?

That Darn Cantor (GB) won the 19:15 Kempton (AW) at SP 5.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Ed Dunlop.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:15 Kempton (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Mr Bollinger) finished 5.

What were the placings in the 19:15 Kempton (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. That Darn Cantor (GB) (5.50), 2. Time To Sparkle (GB) (4.50), 3. Floating Market (GB) (2.62).

What was the winning time for the 19:15 Kempton (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 34.38s.

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