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RacingAlpha

14:54 Yarmouth

Aks Skip Hire Services Handicap Stakes

1m3½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 12 runners · £4,397 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Calchas (GB)
    Rhys Clutterbuck·Ralph Beckett
    12/1·13.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Yokohama (IRE)
    Marco Ghiani·John Butler·beaten 1.75 lengths
    3/1F·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Astracornus (GB)
    Tom Marquand·David Menuisier·beaten .75 lengths
    100/30·4.33
    SP
Race time
2m 26.44s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Calchas (GB))

“Prominent just behind the front pair - nudged over 3f out - short of room 2f out - angled right over 1f out and finished strongly inside final furlong - hit front over 110yds out and drew clear to win”

AI top-rated Madjid (score 57.5) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Arthur's Realm

Arthur's Realm heads our ratings at 86, two pounds ahead of Yokohama on 84, and that narrow edge is enough to make him the pick in a 12-runner Class 5 over 12 furlongs on good to soft at Yarmouth. Yokohama is the chief danger, with Newtown Duke only a pound further back on 83, so this is no foregone conclusion. Astracornus, on 79, is the next best of the dangers, though he has a fair bit to find with the leading trio. Arthur's Realm looks the best of a closely matched top group, and our selection is Arthur's Realm.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Madjid

Lewis Edmunds · Harry Charlton · 3yo

Top-rated of 12
score 57.5 · +0.4 clear of next best (57.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 5-7-1-1-2-5
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    Harry Charlton: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73
MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 12.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m3½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.18
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.09
High (9–12)
IV 0.72

Today: Madjid (draw 3) and Pershalla (draw 4) get the bias; Pure Moon (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
19
J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2
3yo · G · b
7323
7246.2
12/1·13.00
SP
21
J: Marco Ghiani · T: John Butler · draw 7
5yo · G · b
051373
7245.9
3/1F·4.00
SP
36
J: Tom Marquand · T: David Menuisier · draw 10
3yo · G · b
66124
7446.6
100/30·4.33
SP
48
J: Neil Callan · T: Tom Clover · draw 12
3yo · G · bvFT V
2270
7257.1
20/1·21.00
SP
511
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 5
3yo · F · br
41537
6946.2
11/1·12.00
SP
65
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Horton · draw 6
3yo · F · ch
128
7444.2
20/1·21.00
SP
710
3yo · G · grp
604136
7142.0
11/2·6.50
SP
82
J: Jack Callan · T: Ian Williams · draw 11
5yo · G · bt
41334
7248.4
7/1·8.00
SP
97
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 3
3yo · G · b
571125
7357.5
7/1·8.00
SP
103
J: Darragh Keenan · T: Gihan Arnolda · draw 1
8yo · G · bv
77575
7238.6
22/1·23.00
SP
1112
J: Robert Havlin · T: Amanda Perrett · draw 4
4yo · F · bh
957513
6447.2
28/1·29.00
SP
124
J: Jack Dace(5) · T: David Menuisier · draw 8
3yo · G · b
37108
7442.5
40/1·41.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:54 Yarmouth on 12 October 2026?

Calchas (GB) won the 14:54 Yarmouth at SP 13.00. Ridden by Rhys Clutterbuck. Trained by Ralph Beckett.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:54 Yarmouth?

No — the AI top pick (Madjid) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 14:54 Yarmouth?

Top finishers: 1. Calchas (GB) (13.00), 2. Yokohama (IRE) (4.00), 3. Astracornus (GB) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 14:54 Yarmouth?

The winning time was 2m 26.44s.

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