14:17 Musselburgh

British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 4 runners · £9,421 · Monday, 12 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/4F·1.25

1st
Vegasmile (IRE)AI top pick · 57.2
Sam James·K. R. Burke
1/4F·1.25
SP
2nd
Blue Pete (IRE)
Clifford Lee·Michael Appleby·beaten 1.25 lengths
3/1·4.00
SP
3rd
Dodgem (GB)
Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho·beaten 15 lengths
33/1·34.00
SP

Race time

1m 28.05s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Vegasmile (IRE))

“Lifted front legs leaving stalls - led throughout - nudged on 2f out - went clear inside final furlong and kept on strongly to win”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Vegasmile

Sam James · K. R. Burke · 2yo

Top-rated of 4

score 57.2 · +0.9 clear of next best (56.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
85very strong
30d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
82very strong
Last 6: 4-1
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 79 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
30weak
K. R. Burke: 4/34 winners last 14d (12%)

MarketBest price 1.33 (10 Bet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Musselburgh 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.20).

Low (1–2)

IV 0.85

Mid (3–3)

IV 0.97

High (4–4)

IV 1.20

Today: Blue Pete (draw 4) gets the bias; Dodgem (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 126 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

Pos	No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	SP
1	1	Vegasmile J: Sam James · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3 2yo · C · b	41	9-08	79	—	—	57.2	1/4F·1.25 SP
2	2	Blue Pete J: Clifford Lee · T: Michael Appleby · draw 4 2yo · C · b	732	9-04	75	—	—	56.3	3/1·4.00 SP
3	3	Dodgem J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 1 2yo · C · b	54	9-04	—	—	—	16.5	33/1·34.00 SP
4	4	Sneakin Pete J: Greg Fairley · T: R. Mike Smith · draw 2 2yo · G · b	75	9-04	—	—	—	12.0	150/1·151.00 SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:17 Musselburgh on 12 October 2026?

Vegasmile (IRE) won the 14:17 Musselburgh at SP 1.25. Ridden by Sam James. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:17 Musselburgh?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Vegasmile, won the race (AI score 57.2).

What were the placings in the 14:17 Musselburgh?

Top finishers: 1. Vegasmile (IRE) (1.25), 2. Blue Pete (IRE) (4.00), 3. Dodgem (GB) (34.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:17 Musselburgh?

The winning time was 1m 28.05s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org