Who won the 16:50 Musselburgh on 12 October 2026?
Storm On Jura (GB) won the 16:50 Musselburgh at SP 6.00. Ridden by Lauren Young. Trained by Jim Goldie.
16:50 Musselburgh
Racing TV Handicap Stakes
2m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Soft · 8 runners · £3,664 · Monday, 12 October 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stStorm On Jura (GB)Lauren Young·Jim Goldie5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndGalahad Threepwood (GB)Greg Fairley·Ewan Whillans·beaten 4 lengths11/1·12.00SP
- 3rdNed Broy (IRE)Jack Nicholls·Iain Jardine·beaten 2.25 lengths100/30J·4.33SP
Race time
3m 33.07s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Storm On Jura (GB))
“Settled at back of field - slipped to last approaching halfway - made ground from over 2f out - switched to middle of track over 1f out - sprinted clear to hit front inside final furlong - kept on to score by a comfortable margin”
AI top-rated Simple Star (score 57.5) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Simple Star
Simple Star heads the field on our figures at 65, two pounds better than Alpine Sierra and Ned Broy on 63, and that edge is enough to make him the one to beat in this modest Class 6 contest over two miles at Musselburgh. The good to soft ground shouldn't pose any particular problem for a top-rated runner in a race of this level, and he sets the standard of the eight on what we have. Alpine Sierra and Ned Broy are the obvious dangers given how little separates them from him, while Galahad Threepwood, a further seven pounds back on 56, is the best of the rest. Simple Star gets the vote.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Simple Star
Sam James · Gary Rutherford · 8yo
Top-rated of 8
score 57.5 · +7.6 clear of next best (49.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=2)Gary Rutherford: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong12d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Form20% weight46below averageLast 6: 5-4-5-0-5-1
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 64 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 67.00 (Bet Victor) · 3rd in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Musselburgh 2m
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.17).
Low (1–3)
IV 1.17
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.64
High (7–8)
IV 1.13
Today: Simple Star (draw 3) and Ned Broy (draw 2) get the bias; Fairydale (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 54 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | J: Lauren Young(5) · T: Jim Goldie · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 808822 | 48 | 38.9 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 6 | J: Greg Fairley · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 7 9yo · G · bp | 77862 | 47 | 39.4 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 3 | 1 | J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Iain Jardine · draw 2 5yo · G · bp | 62351 | 64 | 49.9 | 100/30J·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 8 | J: Zak Wheatley · T: Katie Scott · draw 5 4yo · G · bv | 324456 | 45 | 33.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Sam James · T: Gary Rutherford · draw 3 8yo · G · bt | 545051 | 64 | 57.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Jim Goldie · draw 1 8yo · G · baybrown | 193534 | 62 | 44.0 | 100/30J·4.33 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Shane Gray · T: Ewan Whillans · draw 6 5yo · G · bb | 764525 | 50 | 40.0 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 8 | 7 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4 3yo · F · chv | 427351 | 54 | 42.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:50 Musselburgh?
No — the AI top pick (Simple Star) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:50 Musselburgh?
Top finishers: 1. Storm On Jura (GB) (6.00), 2. Galahad Threepwood (GB) (12.00), 3. Ned Broy (IRE) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 16:50 Musselburgh?
The winning time was 3m 33.07s.
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