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15:04 Leicester

British EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Soft · 7 runners · £6,480 · Tuesday, 13 October 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    New Year's Eve (GB)
    Tom Marquand·William Haggas
    9/4J·3.25
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lady Phillips (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Ralph Beckett·beaten 0.2 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Catonahottinroof (IRE)AI top pick · 28.0
    Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden·beaten 0.2 lengths
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
1m 48.58s

Race time recorded.

In-running (New Year's Eve (GB))

“Raced prominently behind the front pair - pushed along over 2f out - gradually gained ground to hit the front inside the final furlong - found plenty towards the finish to hold on and win narrowly”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 9.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Catonahottinroof

Robert Havlin · John & Thady Gosden · 2yo

Top-rated of 7
score 28.0 · +2.5 clear of next best (25.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    24d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    70strong
    John & Thady Gosden: 11/39 winners last 14d (28%)
  • Form20% weight
    20weak
    Last 6: 6
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 21.00 (Virgin Bet) · 4th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Leicester 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–3)
IV 1.03
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.17
High (6–7)
IV 0.81

Today: Beryozka (draw 4) and New Year's Eve (draw 5) get the bias; Velora (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 148 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
New Year's Eve
J: Tom Marquand · T: William Haggas · draw 5
2yo · F · ch
5
—22.5
9/4J·3.25
SP
24
Lady Phillips
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
——23.0
5/2·3.50
SP
32
Catonahottinroof
J: Robert Havlin · T: John & Thady Gosden · draw 1
2yo · F · b
6
—28.0
9/1·10.00
SP
43
Comrade Alexi
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 7
2yo · F · b
7
—16.0
9/4J·3.25
SP
56
Singing Blues
J: Sean Levey · T: Tom Ward · draw 3
2yo · F · chpFT P
60
—9.8
150/1·151.00
SP
61
Beryozka
J: David Probert · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4
2yo · F · ch
4
—25.5
12/1·13.00
SP
77
Velora
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 6
2yo · F · b
——18.0
18/1·19.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:04 Leicester on 13 October 2026?

New Year's Eve (GB) won the 15:04 Leicester at SP 3.25. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by William Haggas.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:04 Leicester?

No — the AI top pick (Catonahottinroof) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:04 Leicester?

Top finishers: 1. New Year's Eve (GB) (3.25), 2. Lady Phillips (GB) (3.50), 3. Catonahottinroof (IRE) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:04 Leicester?

The winning time was 1m 48.58s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org